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State of Utah Supports Better Air Quality, Death Penalty, Medical Marijuana, and Helping the Homeless, Opposes Paying for Computers in Classrooms, Split on Decision to Cut Funding to Planned Parenthood

SurveyUSA Operations - 3 days ago

Utah Mormons by 4:1 support the LDS church’s new policy that labels same-sex Mormon couples as “apostates,” according to SurveyUSA statewide research conducted for the Salt Lake Tribune and the Hinckley Institute of Politics at the University of Utah. Non-Mormons oppose the new “apostate” policy by 4:1. Mormons support by 7:2 the church’s new policy that bars children of same-sex couples from baptism until age 18. Non-Mormons oppose 4:1.

Utah is divided on the Governor’s decision to cut off funding for Planned Parenthood: 44% approve of the decision, 46% disapprove.

Among the survey’s other key findings, Utah …

* Overwhelmingly supports the death penalty in capital cases.
* By 2:1 favors legalizing medical marijuana.
* Narrowly supports the state suing the federal government to transfer control of public lands.
* Splits on whether the jail sentence for Phil Lyman was too harsh or too lenient.
* Splits on whether Medicaid should cover an additional 125,000 uninsured low-income residents.
* Wants liquor sales to be controlled by the private sector.
* Is conflicted about whether to build a pipeline from Lake Powell to Washington County.
* Thinks the state should not have to pay for every student to have a computer in the classroom.

How are Utah’s leaders perceived …

* Utah Governor Gary Herbert has a Plus 28 Net Job Approval: 55% of Utah voters approve of the job Herbert is doing, 27% disapprove.
* Utah Senator Mike Lee has a Plus 8 Net Job approval: 45% of voters approve of the job Lee is doing, 37% disapprove.
* The Utah Legislature has a Minus 4 Net Job approval: 39% of voters approve of the job the legislature is doing, 43% disapprove.

Looking Ahead to Utah’s 2016 Presidential Caucuses …

4 Republicans effectively tie for the affection of Utah’s Republicans. Ted Cruz is backed by 18% of likely GOP caucus goers, Donald Trump is backed by 17%, Marco Rubio and Ben Carson are both backed by 15%.

Hillary Clinton narrowly leads Bernie Sanders, 50% to 40%, among likely Democratic caucus goers.

Filtering …

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,200 adults from the state of Utah 01/06/16 through 01/13/16. Of the adults, 989 were registered to vote in the state of Utah, and were asked the majority of the questions in this survey. Of the 989 registered voters, 414 tell SurveyUSA they are certain to caucus as a Republican, 191 are certain to caucus as a Democrat. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

This research was commissioned in part by the Salt Lake Tribune, the future of which is uncertain. 35% of Utahns say they would like the newspaper sold to a Utahn. 34% say they would like the newspaper to continue to operate as is. 9% say they would like the newspaper sold to a newspaper chain. 7% say they would like the newspaper to be shut down.

In Florida, 19 Weeks to GOP Presidential Primary, Trump Tops Carson and Rubio 2:1; Former FL Governor Bush Runs 5th; Dem Clinton Dispatches Sanders 3:1; State’s 29 Electoral Votes Go Red if Trump or Carson Face Clinton in General Election

SurveyUSA Operations - 94 days ago

Hillary Clinton wins 3:1 a Florida Democratic Presidential Primary today and Donald Trump wins 2:1 a Republican presidential primary today, according to SurveyUSA research conducted for Bay News 9 in Tampa and News 13 Orlando.

Trump gets 37% to Ben Carson’s 17% to Marco Rubio’s 16%, in research completed after the most recent GOP candidate debate. Ted Cruz runs 4th at 10%, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush is 5th at 7%. Trump gets 49% of the vote among Republican Primary voters who say that immigration is the most important issue that the country faces. Trump leads in all 5 regions of the state.

Clinton today gets 66% to 24% for Bernie Sanders. Clinton is above 50% in every region of the state. Clinton leads 2:1 among whites, 9:1 among blacks.

If Clinton and Trump are their party’s nominees, Florida’s 29 vital electoral votes turn red: Trump 47%, Clinton 43%.
If Clinton and Carson are their party’s nominees, Florida’s 29 vital electoral votes turn red: Carson 47%, Clinton 44%.
If Clinton and Rubio are their party’s nominees, Florida is too-close-to-call: Clinton 46%, Rubio 45%.

Florida registered voters support a constitutional amendment to legalize medical marijuana, 2:1. Voters split on whether recreational use of marijuana should be legalized.

Voters by 5:3 favoring legalizing casino gambling in Florida.

Filtering: 3,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed 10/28/15 through 11/01/15. Of the adults, 2,712 were registered to vote in the state of Florida. Of the registered voters, 2,400 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 922 were likely to vote in the 03/15/16 Republican primary and 826 were likely to vote in the 03/15/16 Democratic primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: respondents reachable on their home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried Florida (the state was “blue”) in both 2008 and 2012.

GA Super Tuesday Look-Ahead: GOP Trump Today 7 Pts Atop Carson; Dem Clinton Buries Sanders; 16 Electoral Votes Stay Red At This Hour

SurveyUSA Operations - 97 days ago

4 months till Super Tuesday, 3 key findings emerge from this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta:

Donald Trump leads Ben Carson 35% to 28% in the contest to be the Republican nominee for President for 2016.
Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 73% to 16% in the contest to be the Democratic nominee for President in 2016.
If those two candidates are in fact the major-party nominees, Trump defeats Clinton in a general election today, 46% to 37%.

Other findings:

Georgia splits on whether the Confederate Battle Flag should be taken down over public property.
Georgia opposes holding elections online.
Georgia supports holding elections on a weekend.
Georgia supports the death penalty.

In the contest for the Republican nomination, Marco Rubio runs 3rd, with 12% of the vote; all others are in single digits. Trump leads by a nominal 2 points among conservative voters, and leads by 11 points among moderate voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least educated voters. Carson and Trump are effectively tied among the most educated Republican Primary voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least affluent voters; Carson leads among the most affluent Republican Primary voters.

Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia; Clinton captures the Democratic Party nomination by more than 4:1.

Filtering: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. Of the adults, 1,787 were registered to vote in the state of Georgia. Of those registered to vote, SurveyUSA determined that 629 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Republican primary and 481 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Democratic primary; 1,554 would be likely to vote in the November 2016 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Fresno Unified School District Split On Superintendent Actions, But Majority Call For Leave of Absence During Investigation

SurveyUSA Operations - 102 days ago

70% of adults in the Fresno Unified School District who are following news stories about Superintendent Michael Hanson say Hanson should take a leave of absence from his post while an investigation takes place, according to this latest exclusive KFSN-TV News poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Among parents with children attending district schools, it’s higher; 80% say he should step down during the investigation.

Should Hanson not take a leave of absence, 62% of those following the stories say the school district should suspend him; 26% say it should not.

18% of those following stories say Hanson has done nothing wrong; 50% say he has committed ethical violations but not broken any laws; 20% say Hanson has broken the law.

Full results available here.

Oakland Residents About-Face on City Direction, Quality of Life, Biggest Problem

SurveyUSA Operations - 103 days ago

18 months ago, when SurveyUSA last took the pulse of Oakland, California’s residents exclusively for KPIX-TV, there wasn’t much good news to report: the mayor, then Jean Quan, had a Minus 42 Net Approval rating; 64% said the city was off on the wrong track; 49% said the quality of life in Oakland was getting worse, compared with 36% who said it was staying the same and 15% who said it was getting better; 71% said crime was the city’s biggest problem, 7 times as many who chose any other issue.

A year before that, in 2013, the results were largely identical.

Today, a year and a half after we last asked these identical questions, much has changed:

* Mayor Libby Schaaf, elected one year ago, has a Plus 15 Net Approval Rating.
* There has been a 45 point turnaround in the percentage saying Oakland is headed in the right direction.
* The number saying the quality of life in Oakland is getting better has more than doubled, from 15% to 37%; the number saying it’s getting worse has been cut nearly in half, from 49% to 26%.
* Crime, while still seen as the city’s biggest problem, is now seen that way by 36%, down from 71% in March of 2014 and 2013. The cost of owning a home, identified as the biggest problem by 4% of adults in previous years, is now just behind crime with 25% selecting it.

Full results of today’s poll here.

KY Governor Contest Ends Where it Started, with Democrat Conway Narrowly Atop Republican Bevin; Democrats Appear to Pull Ahead in Contests for Attorney General and State Auditor: Lundergan Grimes Well Positioned to Defeat Knipper for KY Secretary of State; Treasurer Contest Tight

SurveyUSA Operations - 103 days ago

Heading into the final weekend of campaigning to fill the open seat for Governor of Kentucky, Democrat Jack Conway continues to lead Republican Matt Bevin narrowly, according to this final Bluegrass Poll conducted by SurveyUSA for the Louisville Courier Journal, Lexington Herald Leader, WHAS-TV, and WKYT-TV. In 3 separate SurveyUSA polls going back to 07/29/15, Conway has led by 5 points. Today, at the wire, it’s Conway 45%, Bevin 40%, and Independent Drew Curtis 6%.

Bevin ends the contest with a Minus 6 Net Favorability Rating: 38% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Bevin, compared to 32% who have a favorable opinion. Conway ends the contest with a Plus 4 Net Favorability Rating: 36% of voters have a favorable opinion of Conway, 32% have an unfavorable opinion. Curtis ends the contest where he started, largely unknown: 80% of voters have no opinion of Curtis, or have a neutral opinion of him.

Conway siphons from Bevin 8% of likely voters who identify themselves as “Strong Republicans,” 10% of likely voters who identify themselves as “Republicans,” and 15% of likely voters who identify themselves as “Independents who Lean Republican.” This leakage is combined with 15% of “very conservative” voters who vote Democratic and 21% of “conservative” voters who vote Democratic.

There is late movement in the contest for Attorney General: Democrat Andy Beshear today leads Republican Whitney Westerfield 47% to 35%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 1 month ago, on 09/28/15, the Democrat is up 9 points, the Republican is down 3 points.

There is late movement in the contest for for State Auditor: Incumbent Democrat Adam Edelen today leads Republican Mike Harmon 42% to 34%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 1 month ago, on 09/28/15, the Democrat is up 7 points, the Republican is up 1 point. Edelen had led by 2 points, now by 8 points.

There is late movement in the contest for State Agricultural Commissioner: Republican Ryan Quarles today leads Democrat Jean-Marie Lawson Spann 40% to 33%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 1 month ago, on 09/28/15, the Republican Quarles is up 6 points, the Democrat Lawson Spann is up 2 points. Quarles had led by 3 points, today leads by 7 points.

The contest for State Treasurer is too-close-to-call. Republican Allison Ball and Democrat Rick Nelson are separated by 2 points, within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error: 37% Ball, 35% Nelson, with 28% of voters either undecided or not following the contest. These results are effectively unchanged from 1 month ago, when Ball had 35% and Nelson had 33%.

At the wire, incumbent Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes appears to pull ahead and defeat Republican Steve Knipper in the contest for KY Secretary of State. Today, it’s Lundergan Grimes 50%, Knipper 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 month ago, Grimes is up 4 points, Knipper is down 1 point. Grimes had led by 8 points, today leads by 13 points.

Filtering: 1,200 state of Kentucky adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/23/15 through 10/26/15. Of the adults, 1,016 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 798 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

In Houston Mayor Election, 5 Candidates Have Chance to Advance to Runoff; None Likely to Win Seat Outright on 11/03/15

SurveyUSA Operations - 114 days ago

In an election for Houston Mayor today, 10/15/2015, 19 days until votes are counted, no candidate approaches the majority required to win the seat outright and avoid a runoff, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPRC-TV in Houston.

Today, State Representative Sylvester Turner finishes just ahead of the rest of the pack of 13 candidates with 20% of the vote; attorney Bill King gets 14%, neck-and-neck with former Harris County Sheriff Adrian Garcia at 13%, former US Representative Chris Bell with 12%, and City Councilmember Stephen Costello at 11%. Two other named candidates are in single digits; 3% would vote for one of the other candidates on the ballot; 22% today are undecided.

Turner leads by 6:1 among African Americans and is strong among older voters and Democrats. King is strong among those most concerned with the city budget. Garcia leads by more than 2:1 among Hispanics and edges out Turner among those voters who say city taxes and fees will be the most important issue in determining their vote for mayor.

25% of Likely voters identify the economy and jobs as the most important issue in this election, and Costello leads among those voters. 17% say the city budget is the most important issue; King holds a significant lead among those voters. The 15% of voters who say the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance is most important split their support between Turner and Bell.

Voting on Houston’s Proposition One, the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance, is too close to call at this hour. Today, 45% of likely voters would vote yes on the ballot measure; 36% vote no. 20% of voters are undecided. Younger voters, whites, blacks, and Democrats support; Republicans, independents, and Hispanics oppose; older voters are divided.

Filtering: 675 Houston adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/12/15 through 10/14/15. Of the adults, 567 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 504 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (61% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (39% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

3 of 4 SFO Voters Won’t Vote For Incumbent Sheriff Ross Mirkarimi; Former Interim Sheriff Hennessy Has Early Lead In First-Choice Ballots

SurveyUSA Operations - 126 days ago

In a ranked-choice election for San Francisco Sheriff today, 10/05/15, one month until votes are counted, former interim Sheriff Vicki Hennessy takes 47% of likely voters’ first choice votes, according to this latest exclusive KPIX-TV News Poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Incumbent Ross Mirkarimi gets 20% of first-choice votes; security firm owner John Robinson takes 8%.

Robinson takes 40% of 2nd choice ballots; Hennessy 19%: Mirkarimi 12%.

Voters who didn’t rank Mirkarimi as either their 1st or 2nd choice were asked why they weren’t voting for him. 39% cited his involvement in a 2012 domestic violence incident; 31% pointed to his position on San Francisco’s sanctuary city law; 17% cite other factors.

Filtering: 875 San Francisco adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/01/15 through 10/04/15. Of the adults, 748 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 504 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (81% of adults; 88% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (19% of adults; 12% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

No Movement in Kentucky Governor’s Race Over Past 60 Days: Democrat Conway Still 5 Points Atop Republican Bevin; Contests for Attorney General, Auditor, Treasurer, Ag Commissioner Effectively Tied Heading Into Campaign’s Final Month

SurveyUSA Operations - 126 days ago

In the Kentucky contest to replace popular Democratic Governor Steve Beshear, Democrat Jack Conway narrowly leads Republican Matt Bevin today, 5 weeks till votes are counted. The contest is unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA poll released 07/29/15, which, like this one, is sponsored by the Louisville Courier-Journal, The Lexington Herald-Leader, WHAS-TV and WKYT-TV.

Conway gets 42% in an election today, Bevin gets 37%, Independent Drew Curtis gets 7%. All 3 candidates are down 1 point from July; a fierce campaign has succeeded only in raising the number of undecided voters from 11% on 07/29/15 to 15% today. Curtis hurts the Democrat Conway slightly more than he hurts the Republican Bevin. Curtis gets 12% of the vote from those who say they are “very liberal,” compared to 6% of the vote of those who say they are “very conservative.” 17% of “very conservative” KY voters cross-over and vote Democratic in the Governor’s contest; each one of those “very conservative” voters is vital to Bevin’s chances to turn the statehouse from Blue to Red.

Conway’s Net Favorability Rating is Plus 4 (37% of registered voters have a favorable impression of him, compared to 33% who have a negative impression.) Bevin’s favorability is Plus 2 (35% of registered voters have a favorable impression of him, compared to 33% who have a negative impression). Sitting Governor Steve Beshear, who is term-limited and not seeking re-election, has a Plus 18 Net Favorability Rating (50% of registered voters have a favorable impression of Beshear, compared to 32% who have a negative impression). 30% of voters say Conway is more honest than his two competitors. 27% of voters say Bevin is more honest than his two competitors. 13% say Curtis is the most honest. 33% trust Conway to better handle new federal environmental rules that limit carbon emissions. 29% trust Bevin.

In an election for Secretary of State today, well-known Democratic incumbent Alison Lundergan Grimes leads Republican Steve Knipper by 8 points, 46% to 38%. Grimes leads in every age group, and leads among lower-income and middle-income voters. Knipper leads among upper-income voters, and in Southwest KY, which is roughly the same as Congressional District #1, and in West Central KY, which is roughly equivalent to Congressional District #2. Grimes leads in KY Congressional Districts 3, 4, 5 and 6.

In an election today for KY Attorney General, Republican Whitney Westerfield and Democrat Andy Beshear tie, 38% to 38%. Compared to identical SurveyUSA research 60 days ago, Beshear is down 2 points, Westerfield is up 5 points, a 7-point swing to the right. Westerfield today leads narrowly among the youngest and oldest voters; Beshear leads among middle-aged voters. Westerfield leads narrowly among white voters; Beshear is competitive because he captures 3 of every 4 African American voters. The Republican leads in Congressional Districts 1, 2, and 6; the Democrat leads in Congressional Districts 3 and 4. The candidates split the vote in Congressional District 5.

In an election today for KY State Auditor, Incumbent Democrat Adam Edelen and Republican Mike Harmon run effectively even, 35% for Edelen, 33% for Harmon — within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error and a 2-point nominal advantage for the Democrat that may or may not be statistically significant. The younger the electorate on Election Day, the better for Harmon. The older the electorate on Election Day, the better for Edelen. The more educated the electorate, the better for Edelen, who leads by 13 points among those with a 4-year college degree. The more middle-income the electorate, the better for Harmon, who leads by 4 among voters with household income between $40,000 and $80,000 per year. 27% of likely voters are undecided in this contest, which makes either outcome possible.

In an election today for KY State Treasurer, Republican Allison Ball and Democrat Rick Nelson run effectively even, 35% for Ball, 33% for Nelson — within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error and a 2-point nominal advantage for the Republican that may or may not be statistically significant. The lead has flipped since SurveyUSA’s last look at this contest: then, Nelson led by 3 points; today, Ball leads by 2, a 5-point shift in favor the Republican. Today, Ball leads by 5 points among white voters, and leads narrowly among both men and women. 54% of independents, and 28% of voters overall, are undecided in this contest, which means that there is a plausible path to victory for either candidate.

In an election today for state Agriculture Commissioner, Republican Ryan Quarles edges Democrat Jean-Marie Lawson Spann 34% to 31%. But, because these results are at the boundary of the theoretical margin of sampling error, and because 29% of likely voters are undecided in the contest, either candidate may win. Quarles leads decisively in Congressional Districts 1, 2 and 6, and leads narrowly in Congressional District 5. Lawson Spann leads in Congressional Districts 3 and 4.

Filtering: 1,000 state of Kentucky adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/22/15 through 09/27/15. Of the adults, 866 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 701 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly

SurveyUSA Operations - 156 days ago

In an election for President of the United States, today, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today it’s:

Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)

Among a subset of registered voters who tell SurveyUSA that they pay “a lot” of attention to politics, the scale tilts to the right: Today it’s:

Trump 54%, Clinton 36%.
Trump 53%, Sanders 39%.
Trump 53%, Biden 37%.
Trump 54%, Gore 36%.

Voters were asked whether they support a given Democrat “enthusiastically,” “with reservations,” or, whether they are “holding their nose” voting for a particular candidate.

57% of Clinton voters say they are voting enthusiastically.
53% of Sanders voters say they are voting enthusiastically.
49% of Biden backers say they are voting enthusiastically.
45% of Gore voters say they are voting enthusiastically.

By contrast:

8% of Clinton supporters say they are holding their nose.
8% of Sanders voters say they are holding their nose.
9% of Biden voters say they are holding their nose.
12% of Gore voters say they are holding their nose.

Voters were asked, regardless of whether they were Democrats or Republicans, and regardless of whom they might vote for in a primary, who they thought would be the major party nominees. Today, Labor Day, voters handicap the primary contests this way:

44% say Clinton will be the Democratic Party nominee.
22% say Biden will be the nominee.
14% say Sanders will be the nominee.
3% say Gore.
9% say someone else.

30% say Trump will be the Republican party nominee.
20% say Jeb Bush will the the GOP nominee.
14% say Ben Carson will be the GOP nominee.
6% say Ted Cruz will be the nominee.
4% say Marco Rubio will be the nominee.
4% say John Kasich will be the nominee.
3% say Carly Fiorina will be the nominee.
2% say Scott Walker will be the nominee.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents are included in this survey. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 58% (522) pay “a lot” of attention to politics. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (62% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home (landline) telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (38% of registered voters) were shown a question on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Cell respondents, as is typically the case, vote more Democratic than do landline respondents. Among just the universe of cell-phone respondents, Clinton defeats Trump by 16 points; Sanders defeats Trump by 12 points; Biden defeats Trump by 17 points; and Gore defeats Trump by 17 points. The more cell-phone respondents a pollster includes in its “mix” of voters, the more Democratic the poll results will be.

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