SurveyUSA - 2004 Election Polls

Which Pollsters Were Most Accurate in 2004?
All Statewide Contests	Pres, Sen & Gov Only

Partisan Bias in SurveyUSA 2004 Polls

Were SurveyUSA Polls Biased in Favor of the Democrats? Or the Republicans?

SurveyUSA 12-Year Election Poll Track Record

Since inception in 1992, how has SurveyUSA done compared to other pollsters?

2004 SurveyUSA Election Polls
Sorted: Newest Data on Top	Last Updated:11/1/04

President, NV	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	53%
Kerry (D)	45%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/30/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Nevada
Sample Population	636 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KVBC-TV Las Vegas

President, CO	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	50%
Kerry (D)	47%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/30/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Colorado
Sample Population	705 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KUSA-TV Denver

U.S. Senate, CO	11/1/2004
K. Salazar (D)	51%
Coors (R)	47%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/30/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Colorado
Sample Population	701 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KUSA-TV Denver

Amendment 35, CO	11/1/2004
Yes	62%
No	38%
Undecided	1%
Data Collected	10/30/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Colorado
Sample Population	696 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KUSA-TV Denver

Amendment 36, CO	11/1/2004
No	62%
Yes	35%
Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/30/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Colorado
Sample Population	662 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KUSA-TV Denver

President, IA	11/1/2004
Kerry (D)	50%
Bush (R)	47%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/31/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Iowa
Sample Population	519 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.4%
Client	WHO-TV Des Moines

President, AR	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	51%
Kerry (D)	46%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/31/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Arkansas
Sample Population	550 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.3%
Client	KTHV-TV Little Rock

U.S. Senate, AR	11/1/2004
Lincoln (D)	53%
Holt (R)	43%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/31/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Arkansas
Sample Population	549 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.3%
Client	KTHV-TV Little Rock

President, PA	11/1/2004
Kerry (D)	49%
Bush (R)	48%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/31/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Pennsylvania
Sample Population	657 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.9%
Client	WCAU-TV Philadelphia
	WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
	KDKA-TV Pittsburgh

U.S. Senate, PA	11/1/2004
Specter(R)	53%
Hoeffel (D)	35%
Clymer (C)	8%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/31/04 - 11/1/04
Geography	State of Pennsylvania
Sample Population	650 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.9%
Client	WCAU-TV Philadelphia
	WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
	KDKA-TV Pittsburgh

President, WA	11/1/2004
Kerry (D)	51%
Bush (R)	47%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Washington
Sample Population	622 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KING-TV Seattle
	KHQ-TV Spokane

Governor, WA	11/1/2004
Rossi (R)	51%
Gregoire (D)	45%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Washington
Sample Population	620 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KING-TV Seattle
	KHQ-TV Spokane

U.S. Senate, WA	11/1/2004
Murray (D)	51%
Nethercutt (R)	45%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Washington
Sample Population	622 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KING-TV Seattle
	KHQ-TV Spokane

Atty General, WA	11/1/2004
McKenna (R)	49%
Senn (D)	43%
Other/Undecided	8%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Washington
Sample Population	617 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KING-TV Seattle
	KHQ-TV Spokane

President, CA	11/1/2004
Kerry-Edwards (D)	54%
Bush-Cheney (R)	43%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of California
Sample Population	767 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.6%
Client	KABC-TV Los Angeles
	KPIX-TV San Francisco
	KXTV-TV Sacramento
	KGTV-TV San Diego

U.S. Senate, CA	11/1/2004
Boxer (D)	57%
Jones (R)	36%
Other/Undecided	7%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of California
Sample Population	763 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.6%
Client	KABC-TV Los Angeles
	KPIX-TV San Francisco
	KXTV-TV Sacramento
	KGTV-TV San Diego

President, FL	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	49%
Kerry (D)	48%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Florida
Sample Population	742 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.7%
Client	WFOR-TV Miami
	WFLA-TV Tampa
	WPTV-TV Palm Beach
	WKRG-TV Mobile
	WKMG-TV Orlando
	WTLV-TV Jacksonville

U.S Senate, FL	11/1/2004
Castor (D)	48%
Martinez (R)	48%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Florida
Sample Population	738 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.7%
Client	WFOR-TV Miami
	WFLA-TV Tampa
	WPTV-TV Palm Beach
	WKRG-TV Mobile
	WKMG-TV Orlando
	WTLV-TV Jacksonville

President, OH	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	49%
Kerry (D)	47%
Other/Undecided	4%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Ohio
Sample Population	816 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.5%
Client	WCPO-TV Cincinnati
	WKYC-TV Cleveland

U.S. Senate, OH	11/1/2004
Voinovich (R)	61%
Fingerhut (D)	33%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Ohio
Sample Population	813 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.5%
Client	WCPO-TV Cincinnati
	WKYC-TV Cleveland

President, MO	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	52%
Kerry (D)	47%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Missouri
Sample Population	694 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KSDK-TV St. Louis
	KOMU-TV Columbia

Governor, MO	11/1/2004
Blunt (R)	47%
McCaskill (D)	47%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Missouri
Sample Population	689 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KSDK-TV St. Louis
	KOMU-TV Columbia

U.S. Senate, MO	11/1/2004
Bond (R)	57%
Farmer (D)	38%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of Missouri
Sample Population	690 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KSDK-TV St. Louis
	KOMU-TV Columbia

President, NC	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	53%
Kerry (D)	45%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of North Carolina
Sample Population	620 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WBTV-TV Charlotte
	WTVD-TV Raleigh-Durham

Governor, NC	11/1/2004
Easley (D)	55%
Ballantine (R)	41%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of North Carolina
Sample Population	617 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WBTV-TV Charlotte
	WTVD-TV Raleigh-Durham

U.S. Senate, NC	11/1/2004
Burr (R)	50%
Bowles (D)	45%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of North Carolina
Sample Population	616 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WBTV-TV Charlotte
	WTVD-TV Raleigh-Durham

President, SC	11/1/2004
Bush (R)	54%
Kerry (D)	43%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of South Carolina
Sample Population	635 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WCSC-TV Charleston

U.S. Senate, SC	11/1/2004
DeMint (R)	52%
Tenenbaum (D)	41%
Other/Undecided	8%
Data Collected	10/29/04 - 10/31/04
Geography	State of South Carolina
Sample Population	627 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WCSC-TV Charleston

President, MI	10/31/2004
Kerry (D)	50%
Bush (R)	47%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Michigan
Sample Population	671 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.9%
Client	WZZM-TV Grand Rapids
	WDIV-TV Detroit

President, ME	10/31/2004
Kerry (D)	52%
Bush (R)	44%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Maine
Sample Population	1008 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.2%
Client	WCSH-TV Portland
	WLBZ-TV Bangor

Ballot Question 1, ME	10/31/2004
No	60%
Yes	37%
Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Maine
Sample Population	987 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.2%
Client	WCSH-TV Portland
	WLBZ-TV Bangor

Ballot Question 2, ME	10/31/2004
No	54%
Yes	44%
Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Maine
Sample Population	995 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.2%
Client	WCSH-TV Portland
	WLBZ-TV Bangor

President, AZ	10/31/2004
Bush (R)	56%
Kerry (D)	41%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Arizona
Sample Population	599 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.1%
Client	KPNX-TV Phoenix
	KVOA-TV Tucson

President, KY	10/31/2004
Bush (R)	59%
Kerry (D)	38%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Kentucky
Sample Population	636 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WHAS-TV Louisville
	WLEX-TV Lexington

U.S. Senate, KY	10/31/2004
Bunning (R)	51%
Mongiardo (D)	42%
Other/Undecided	6%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Kentucky
Sample Population	631 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WHAS-TV Louisville
	WLEX-TV Lexington

Marriage Amendment, KY	10/31/2004
Yes	73%
No	25%
Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Kentucky
Sample Population	624 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.6%
Client	WHAS-TV Louisville
	WLEX-TV Lexington

President, OK	10/31/2004
Bush (R)	64%
Kerry (D)	34%
Other/Undecided	1%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Oklahoma
Sample Population	662 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.7%
Client	KJRH-TV Tulsa
	KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

U.S. Senate, OK	10/31/2004
Coburn (R)	47%
Carson (D)	39%
Bilyeu (I)	8%
Other/Undecided	6%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Oklahoma
Sample Population	656 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.9%
Client	KJRH-TV Tulsa
	KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

Marriage Amendment, OK	10/31/2004
Yes	74%
No	24%
Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Oklahoma
Sample Population	633 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KJRH-TV Tulsa
	KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

Education Lottery Act, OK	10/31/2004
Yes	69%
No	29%
Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Oklahoma
Sample Population	637 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.8%
Client	KJRH-TV Tulsa
	KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

State Tribal Gaming Act, OK	10/31/2004
Yes	60%
No	37%
Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Oklahoma
Sample Population	621 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KJRH-TV Tulsa
	KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

President, GA	10/31/2004
Bush (R)	55%
Kerry (D)	43%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Georgia
Sample Population	628 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WXIA-TV Atlanta

U.S. Senate, GA	10/31/2004
Isakson (R)	56%
Majette (D)	40%
Other/Undecided	5%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Georgia
Sample Population	624 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WXIA-TV Atlanta

President, TN	10/31/2004
Bush (R)	58%
Kerry (D)	40%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/28/04 - 10/30/04
Geography	State of Tennessee
Sample Population	629 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	WBIR-TV Knoxville

President, VA	10/30/2004
Bush (R)	51%
Kerry (D)	47%
Other/Undecided	2%
Data Collected	10/27/04 - 10/29/04
Geography	State of Virginia
Sample Population	606 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.1%
Client	WSLS-TV Roanoke

President, NJ	10/30/2004
Kerry (D)	54%
Bush (R)	42%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/27/04 - 10/29/04
Geography	State of New Jersey
Sample Population	794 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	3.5%
Client	WABC-TV New York
	WCAU-TV Philadelphia

President, MD	10/30/2004
Kerry (D)	54%
Bush (R)	43%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/27/04 - 10/29/04
Geography	State of Maryland
Sample Population	607 Likely Voters
Margin of Error	4.1%
Client	WMAR-TV Baltimore

President, IN	10/30/2004
Bush (R)	58%
Kerry (D)	39%
Other/Undecided	3%
Data Collected	10/27/04 - 10/29/0