Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10292

Geography Surveyed: OH 2nd Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/17/2006 - 09/19/2006
Release Date: 09/20/2006 11:55 AM ET
Sponsor: WCPO-TV Cincinnati

Republican Schmidt Faces Strong Challenge in OH2: In an election for US House of Representatives in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District today, 9/20/06, Republican Congresswoman Jean Schmidt leads Democrat Victoria Wulsin by 3 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Schmidt gets 45%. Wulsin gets 42%. The 3-point edge is within the poll's 4.5% margin of sampling error, and is not statistically significant. Republicans support Schmidt 6:1. Democrats support Wulsin 14:1. Independents break 5:4 for Wulsin. Republicans have a 3:2 advantage among 2nd CD likely voters. Wulsin leads among lower-income voters. Schmidt leads among middle-income voters. The two tie among upper-income voters. Schmidt is up slightly among men. Wulsin is up slightly among women. Though Wulsin leads 5:3 among Moderates, that is not enough to overcome the 9:2 lead Schmidt has among Conservatives. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 79% support Schmidt. Of those who disapprove of Bush's performance, 80% support Wulsin. President Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Ohio's 2nd CD is 50%. Schmidt was first elected to Congress in a special election in 2005.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, chosen using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 9/17/06 - 9/19/06. Of them, 497 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.