Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10332

Geography Surveyed: NY 26th Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/25/2006 - 09/27/2006
Release Date: 09/28/2006 11:25 AM ET
Sponsor: WGRZ-TV Buffalo

Republican Reynolds Faces Strong Challenge in NY26 Rematch: In an election in New York's 26th Congressional District today, 9/28/06, Republican incumbent Tom Reynolds and Democratic challenger Jack Davis are in a fierce fight, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WGRZ-TV Buffalo. 40 days to the 11/7/06 election, Reynolds gets 45%. Davis gets 43%. Green Party candidate Christine Murphy gets 8%. This contest is a rematch of the 2004 election, when Reynolds, who was first elected to Congress in 1998, defeated Davis 56% to 44%. Reynolds gets 62% of Republican votes. Davis gets 64% of Democrat votes. 31% of Republicans, and 24% of Democrats, cross over to vote for the other party's candidate. Independents favor Davis by 12 points, but Green Party candidate Murphy gets 20% of the Independent vote. Reynolds wins by 18 points among voters with household income under $40K. Davis leads by 5 points among voters with household income over $80K. Middle-income voters are evenly divided.

Filtering: 900 Registered Voters from New York's 26th Congressional District, chosen using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 9/25/06 - 9/27/06. Of them, 491 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

Caution: On 9/26/06, while interviewing was being conducted for this poll, the Green Party candidacy of Christine Murphy was ruled invalid by the New York State Board of Elections. Therefore, the results of this poll may NOT be interpreted as a projection of the results in the 11/7/06 election. They represent the voters' preferences at the time the poll was taken. SurveyUSA makes no forecast regarding the impact of Murphy's disqualification on the outcome of the contest. Future SurveyUSA polling for this contest will not offer Murphy as a ballot choice.