Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13151

Geography Surveyed: South Carolina
Data Collected: 01/04/2008 - 01/06/2008
Release Date: 01/07/2008 8:15 AM ET
Sponsors: WCSC-TV Charleston, WSPA-TV Greenville

Eve of NEW HAMPSHIRE Primary, Obama now 20 points atop Clinton in SOUTH CAROLINA: In a South Carolina Democratic Primary today, 01/07/08, 19 days to the vote, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton 50% to 30%, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WCSC-TV Charleston and WSPA-TV Greenville. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll completed 3 weeks ago, before Christmas and before the Iowa Caucuses, when Clinton and Obama were effectively tied, Obama is up 11 points, Clinton is down 11 points, a 22-point swing. John Edwards is unchanged, 17% on 12/19/07 and 16% today. There is across-the board movement away from Clinton to Obama. Among women: Clinton had led by 17 points, now trails by 14 points. Among blacks, Obama had led by 20 points, now leads by 46. Among white voters, Obama had been 3rd, is now 2nd, tied with Edwards, the two of them 9 and 10 points back of Clinton. Among Moderates, Obama was tied, now leads by 23. Among voters age 65+, Clinton had been at 61% a month ago, 40% today. In the Low Country, Clinton had led by 13, now trails by 16. Upstate, Obama had been tied, now leads by 16. In the Midlands, Obama had led by 5, now leads by 26. South Carolina Democrats name the Economy as the issue the next President should focus on ahead of all others. Among voters focused on the Economy, Obama leads Clinton 2:1. Among voters focused on Health Care, Clinton leads Obama 41% to 37%. Click on the "Triangle T" to access SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive.

Filtering / Might Switch to Another Candidate: 2,250 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/04/08 through 01/06/08, all interviews conducted after the Iowa Caucuses on 01/03/08 and before the New Hampshire Primaries on 01/08/08. 1,953 of those interviewed were registered to vote in South Carolina. Of them, 579 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Democratic Primary. One quarter of SC likely voters say they could change their mind before the SC Primary. Of those who may change their mind, Edwards' support is the weakest, Obama's the strongest. Among voters who made up their mind AFTER the Iowa Caucuses, Obama leads Clinton 63% to 13%.

1
  Asked of 579 likely democratic primary voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

30% Clinton
16% Edwards
50% Obama
2% Other
3% Undecided

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