Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9430

Geography Surveyed: Alabama
Data Collected: 06/02/2006 - 06/04/2006
Release Date: 06/05/2006 11:10 AM ET
Sponsor: WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola

At the Wire, Baxley Has Momentum in Democrat AL Primary: In a Democratic Primary for Alabama Governor today, 6/5/06, Lucy Baxley appears to come from behind and be poised to defeat former Governor Don Siegelman, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WKRG-TV Mobile. On Election Eve, it's Baxley 46%, Siegelman 41%. Since an identical SurveyUSA WKRG-TV poll on 5/25/06, Baxley has gained 3 points and Siegelman has lost 2 points. On 5/2/06, just as his ongoing trial for political corruption began, Siegelman led Baxley by 8 points; on 5/25/06 they were tied; today, on the eve of the 6/6/06 Primary, Baxley has moved into a 5-point lead. Siegelman leads among younger voters, historically unreliable, and African-Americans. Baxley leads among older voters and Whites. In the campaign's final days, Liberals have shifted sharply towards Siegelman, Conservatives have shifted sharply towards Baxley. The two candidates are tied among male voters. Baxley leads by 8 points among female voters. If neither candidate gets "50% + 1" of the vote, the 2 will face each other in a runoff 7/18/06.

Republican Primary: In a Republican Primary for Alabama Governor today, 6/5/06, incumbent Bob Riley defeats Roy Moore 2:1. 12 hours until polls open in the 6/6/06 Primary, Riley gets 64%, Moore 33%. These numbers are unchanged in the last 11 days. Women prefer Riley by 41 points. Men prefer Riley by 22 points. Riley wins by 44 points in Southern Alabama and by 23 points in Northern Alabama.

Filtering: 2,400 Alabama adults were interviewed 6/2/06 - 6/4/06. Of them, 2,085 were registered voters. Of them, 540 were judged to be Likely Democratic Primary Voters. 658 were judged to be Likely Republican Primary Voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Primary Voters.

1
  Asked of 540 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If the Democratic Primary were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Lucy Baxley? Don Siegelman? Or some other candidate?

46% Baxley
41% Siegelman
9% Other
4% Undecided

2
  Asked of 658 Likely Republican Primary Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.7%

If the Republican Primary were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Roy Moore? Or Bob Riley?

33% Moore
64% Riley
4% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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