Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15878

Geography Surveyed: Virginia
Data Collected: 10/02/2009 - 10/04/2009
Release Date: 10/05/2009 7:45 AM ET
Sponsors: WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC

In Virginia, 4 Weeks Until Votes Are Counted, Republicans Remain Poised to Win 3 Top Statewide Contests:

Middle-Aged, Women See Something in Deeds, But Little Else Is New : In en election for Virginia Governor today, 10/05/09, one month until votes are counted, Republican Bob McDonnell defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds, 54% to 43%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Deeds has gained ground among women, among voters age 50 to 64, and in Southeast VA. In 4 identical SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted for WJLA-TV in Washington DC and WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, McDonnell has polled at 55%, 54%, 55%, 54%. Deeds has polled at 40%, 42%, 41%, 43%.

In the contest for Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 57% to 40%. Bolling is consolidating support among men, where he now leads 2:1, and among more educated Virginians, where he now leads 3:2.

In the Attorney General contest, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 53% to 43%. There is offsetting gender movement: men drifting to the Republican, women drifting to the Democrat. And there is offsetting regional movement: Central VA drifting to the Republican, Southeast VA drifting to the Democrat. Otherwise, the complexion of the is contest is largely unchanged.


Filtering: 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/02/09 through 10/04/09. Of them, 851 were registered to vote. Of them, 608 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; his seat is open. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February 2009, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office.

1
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%

If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds?

54% McDonnell (R)
43% Deeds (D)
4% Undecided

2
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%

Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner?

57% Bolling (R)
40% Wagner (D)
3% Undecided

3
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%

Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon?

53% Cuccinelli (R)
43% Shannon (D)
4% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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