Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15878

Geography Surveyed: Virginia
Data Collected: 10/02/2009 - 10/04/2009
Release Date: 10/05/2009 7:45 AM ET
Sponsors: WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC

In Virginia, 4 Weeks Until Votes Are Counted, Republicans Remain Poised to Win 3 Top Statewide Contests:

Middle-Aged, Women See Something in Deeds, But Little Else Is New : In en election for Virginia Governor today, 10/05/09, one month until votes are counted, Republican Bob McDonnell defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds, 54% to 43%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Deeds has gained ground among women, among voters age 50 to 64, and in Southeast VA. In 4 identical SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted for WJLA-TV in Washington DC and WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, McDonnell has polled at 55%, 54%, 55%, 54%. Deeds has polled at 40%, 42%, 41%, 43%.

In the contest for Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 57% to 40%. Bolling is consolidating support among men, where he now leads 2:1, and among more educated Virginians, where he now leads 3:2.

In the Attorney General contest, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 53% to 43%. There is offsetting gender movement: men drifting to the Republican, women drifting to the Democrat. And there is offsetting regional movement: Central VA drifting to the Republican, Southeast VA drifting to the Democrat. Otherwise, the complexion of the is contest is largely unchanged.


Filtering: 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/02/09 through 10/04/09. Of them, 851 were registered to vote. Of them, 608 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; his seat is open. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February 2009, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office.

1
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds?

54% McDonnell (R)
43% Deeds (D)
4% Undecided

2
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner?

57% Bolling (R)
40% Wagner (D)
3% Undecided

3
  Asked of 608 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon?

53% Cuccinelli (R)
43% Shannon (D)
4% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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