Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10114

Geography Surveyed: California
Data Collected: 08/25/2006 - 08/27/2006
Release Date: 08/28/2006 11:50 AM ET
Sponsors: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KXTV-TV Sacramento

Schwarzenegger Tops Angelides: In an election for Governor of California today, 8/28/06, incumbent Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger defeats Democratic challenger Phil Angelides 52% to 38%, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KXTV-TV Sacramento. Schwarzenegger leads 30:1 among Republicans and 2:1 among Independents. 17% of Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican Schwarzenegger. Angelides wins by 16 points in the Bay Area and Northern Coast. Schwarzenegger wins by 21 points in Greater L.A., by 23 points in the Central Valley, and by 27 points in the Inland Empire. Those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance support Schwarzenegger by 82 points. Those who disapprove of Bush's performance support Angelides by 25 points. President Bush's approval rating among likely California voters is 34%. Schwarzenegger was first elected in 2003 in a Special Election to recall and replace Democratic Governor Gray Davis. The election is in 10 weeks, on 11/7/06.

Senator Feinstein Easily Wins Re-election: In an election for United States Senator in California today, 8/28/06, incumbent Democrat Dianne Feinstein beats Republican Dick Mountjoy 56% to 34%, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KXTV-TV Sacramento. Feinstein gets 88% of Democrat votes. Mountjoy gets 74% of Republican votes. Independents favor Feinstein by 33 points. Feinstein leads by 56 points in the Bay Area and Northern Coast, and by 21 points in Greater L.A. The election is on 11/7/06. Feinstein was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1992.

Cigarette Tax Increase Passes: In an election today, 8/28/06, California voters approve Proposition 86, which increases the tax on cigarettes by $2.60 a pack, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KXTV-TV Sacramento. 10 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, 56% vote "Yes" and 42% vote "No." Women approve the tax increase by 24 points; men by only 3 points. Republicans and Conservatives narrowly oppose the tax increase. Proposition 86 receives strong support from low-income and high-income voters. Voters with annual household income between $40,000 and $80,000 are split.

Filtering: 1,000 California adults were interviewed 8/25/06 - 8/27/06. Of them, 822 were registered to vote. Of them, 525 were judged to be "likely voters" for Governor and U.S. Senator. 517 were judged to be "likely voters" for Proposition 86. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 525 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger? Democrat Philip Angelides? Or some other candidate?

52% Schwarzenegger (R)
38% Angelides (D)
1% Other
8% Undecided

2
  Asked of 525 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Voters in California will also have a chance to vote for United States Senator. Republican Dick Mountjoy? Democrat Dianne Feinstein? Or some other candidate?

34% Mountjoy (R)
56% Feinstein (D)
1% Other
9% Undecided

3
  Asked of 517 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

Also on the ballot is Proposition 86, a Tax on Cigarettes. Proposition 86 would raise the tax on cigarettes by an additional $2.60 per pack. Money would go to pay for health programs. If the vote were today, would you vote yes on 86? Or no on 86?

56% Yes
42% No
1% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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