Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13182

Geography Surveyed: California
Data Collected: 01/11/2008 - 01/13/2008
Release Date: 01/14/2008 10:35 AM ET
Sponsors: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KFSN-TV Fresno, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco

CA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: At Edwards' Expense, Obama Creeps to Within 15 Points of Hillary -- In a Democratic Primary in delegate-rich California today, 01/14/08, three weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 50% to 35%, according to SurveyUSA tracking poll data conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. Compared to SurveyUSA's most recent CA poll released one month ago, before Iowa and New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton is up 1 point, Obama is up 5 points, and John Edwards, who finishes today at 10%, is down 4 points. In October, Clinton led Obama by 37 points. Obama has gained material ground since then, but Clinton has not lost as much ground, so the advantage remains hers. Obama today leads among men by 9 points; Clinton leads among women by 33 points -- a 42-point Gender Gap. In greater Los Angeles, Clinton leads by 14. In greater San Francisco, Clinton leads by 6.

Filtering: 2,100 state of CA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/11/08 through 01/13/08, after Iowa and New Hampshire voting, but before voting in Nevada, South Carolina and Florida. Of the adults, 1,791 were registered to vote. Of them, 810 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Presidential Primary.

1
  Asked of 810 likely democratic primary voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.5 percentage points.

If the Democratic Primary were today, would you vote for... Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? John Edwards? Or some other Democrat?

50% Clinton
35% Obama
10% Edwards
3% Other
2% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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