Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10806

Geography Surveyed: Maryland
Data Collected: 11/03/2006 - 11/05/2006
Release Date: 11/06/2006 12:50 PM ET
Sponsors: WMAR-TV Baltimore, WUSA-TV Washington, DC

Election Eve -- Democrats Cardin and O'Malley May Squeak By in Maryland: In two fiercely fought contests at the top of the ballot in Maryland, Democrat Martin O'Malley is positioned to nose-out Republican incumbent Bob Ehrlich, for a Democrat take-away in the Maryland statehouse. And, Democrat Ben Cardin appears to have the slightest edge over Republican Michael Steele in the race for the open U.S. Senate seat in Maryland, according to SurveyUSA's final tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WUSA-TV Washington DC and WMAR-TV Baltimore. O'Malley has never trailed in SurveyUSA polling, but in our 11/3 release and again today, his lead is within the survey's margin of sampling error. Today it's 50% O'Malley, 47% Ehrlich. For Paul Sarbanes's Senate seat, Cardin has never led in SurveyUSA polling, but has been exactly tied, or effectively tied, in 3 prior polls. Today, his 3-point, 49% to 46% advantage is still within the survey's margin of sampling error, and a Steele upset remains a possibility. In SurveyUSA's final poll, Steele gets 1 in 4 black votes.

Filtering: 1,000 Maryland adults were interviewed 11/3/06 through 11/5/06. Of them, 861 were registered to vote. Of them, 663 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 663 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Ehrlich? Democrat Martin O'Malley? Green Party candidate Ed Boyd? Or Populist Party candidate Chris Driscoll?

47% Ehrlich (R)
50% O'Malley (D)
1% Boyd (G)
0% Driscoll (P)
2% Undecided

  Asked of 663 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

Maryland voters will also elect a United States Senator. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Michael Steele? Democrat Ben Cardin? Or Green Party candidate Kevin Zeese?

46% Steele (R)
49% Cardin (D)
3% Zeese (G)
2% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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