Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10560

Geography Surveyed: KY 4th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/21/2006 - 10/23/2006
Release Date: 10/24/2006 11:20 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

Nail-Biter In KY4: In an election today, 10/24/06, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, it's Republican incumbent Geoff Davis 46%, Democratic challenger Ken Lucas 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 10/10/06, Davis has lost a statistically insignificant 1 point, Lucas is steady. In the last 4 polls surveyUSA has conducted in this race, since 8/10/06, Davis has stayed between 44% and 47%, and Lucas has stayed between 44% and 48%. The differences between these polls are too small to be of statistical significance. Today, the candidates are exactly where they were on 8/10: 46% for Davis, 44% for Lucas. Davis lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired. Lucas represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004. The election is in 2 weeks, on 11/7/06.

Filtering: 900 adults from Kentucky's 4th Congressional District were interviewed 10/21/06 - 10/23/06. Of them, 771 were registered to vote. Of them, 466 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 466 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.6 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Geoff Davis? Democrat Ken Lucas? Or Libertarian Brian Houillion?

46% Davis (R)
44% Lucas (D)
7% Houillion (L)
3% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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