Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10560
Geography Surveyed: KY 4th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/21/2006 - 10/23/2006
Release Date: 10/24/2006 11:20 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville
Nail-Biter In KY4: In an election today, 10/24/06, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, it's Republican incumbent Geoff Davis 46%, Democratic challenger Ken Lucas 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 10/10/06, Davis has lost a statistically insignificant 1 point, Lucas is steady. In the last 4 polls surveyUSA has conducted in this race, since 8/10/06, Davis has stayed between 44% and 47%, and Lucas has stayed between 44% and 48%. The differences between these polls are too small to be of statistical significance. Today, the candidates are exactly where they were on 8/10: 46% for Davis, 44% for Lucas. Davis lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired. Lucas represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004. The election is in 2 weeks, on 11/7/06.
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Filtering: 900 adults from Kentucky's 4th Congressional District were interviewed 10/21/06 - 10/23/06. Of them, 771 were registered to vote. Of them, 466 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters. |
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Asked of 466 Likely Voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.6 percentage points. |
46% | Davis (R) |
44% | Lucas (D) |
7% | Houillion (L) |
3% | Undecided |
Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
Statement of Methodology | |
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