Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #8957
Geography Surveyed: OH 2nd Congressional District
Data Collected: 04/17/2006 - 04/19/2006
Release Date: 04/20/2006 9:40 AM ET
Sponsor: WCPO-TV Cincinnati
Analysis: In a Republican Primary in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District today, 4/20/06, incumbent Jean Schmidt defeats former Congressman Bob McEwen 56% to 33%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. 8% prefer some other candidate. 3% are undecided. The Primary is in 12 days, on 5/2/06. McEwen wins 51% to 32% among Independents who choose to vote in the Republican primary, but they make up only 14% of the "likely voters" in SurveyUSA's voter turnout model. Schmidt won a special election on 8/2/2005 to fill this seat, which was vacated when Republican Rob Portman resigned on 4/29/05. |
Filtering: 1,600 adults from Ohio's 2nd Congressional District were interviewed 4/17/06 - 4/19/06. Of them, 1,497 were Registered Voters. Of them, 863 were judged to be "likely voters". Of them, 543 chose to vote in the Republican Primary. Crosstabs reflect Likely Republican Primary Voters. |
Competing Poll by Trailing Candidate: A competing poll, paid for by the McEwen campaign and conducted 04/05/06 to 04/06/06 by the polling firm Zogby International of Utica, New York, offers a different view of the election. Zogby shows the contest 35% Schmidt to 33% McEwen, with 29% undecided. A complete copy of the Zogby questionnaire is available here. Analysis by Zogby is available here. |
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Asked of 543 Likely Republican Primary Voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.3 percentage points. |
If the Republican Primary were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Bob McEwen? Jean Schmidt? Or some other candidate? |
33% | McEwen |
56% | Schmidt |
8% | Other |
3% | Undecided |
Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
Statement of Methodology | |
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