Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10200

Geography Surveyed: Florida
Data Collected: 09/11/2006 - 09/13/2006
Release Date: 09/14/2006 11:15 AM ET
Sponsors: WFLA-TV Tampa, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola, WTLV-TV Jacksonville

Republicans Positioned to Hold Florida Statehouse: In an election for Florida Governor today, 9/14/06, Republican Charlie Crist leads Democrat Jim Davis by 8 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa, WTLV-TV Jacksonville, and WKRG-TV Pensacola. 54 days to the 11/7/06 general election, Crist gets 49% and Davis gets 41%. Crist gets 85% of Republican votes. Davis gets 76% of Democrat votes. 15% of Democrats cross over to vote for Crist. Independents are tied. Crist leads by 18 points among men and trails by 2 points among women. Crist leads 3:2 among white voters and Hispanic voters. African-American voters go 3:1 for Davis. Crist leads by 31 points in Northeast FL. Davis leads by 15 points in Southeast FL. Crist leads by 9 points in the rest of the state. Those who approve of President George W. Bush's performance in office, support Crist 14:1. Those who disapprove of Bush support Davis 4:1. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Florida us 44%. Incumbent Republican Governor Jeb Bush is term-limited and cannot run for re-election.

Democrats Positioned to Hold Nelson's U.S. Senate Seat: In an election for United States Senator from Florida today, 9/14/06, incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson defeats Republican Katherine Harris 53% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa, WTLV-TV Jacksonville, and WKRG-TV Pensacola. The election is in 54 days, on 11/7/06. Nelson is up by 1 point among men and up by 28 points among women, a 27-point "gender gap." Republicans vote 4:1 for Harris. Democrats vote 18:1 for Nelson. Independents vote 2:1 for Nelson. Harris is supported by 76% of those who approve of President Bush's performance in office. Nelson is supported by 85% of those who disapprove of Bush. Nelson was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000. Harris, a former Florida Secretary of State, has represented Florida's 13th Congressional District since 2002.

Republican Lee With Slight Edge in FL CFO Contest: In an election in Florida for Chief Financial Officer today, 9/14/06, Republican Tom Lee edges Democrat Alex Sink by 8 points, 51% to 43%. Lee gets 90% of Republican votes. Sink gets 81% of Democrat votes. Independents favor Lee by 9 points. Lee leads by 22 points among men and trails by 6 points among women, a 28-point "gender gap." The Democrat leads by 5 among Floridians earning less than $40,000/year. The Republican leads by 13 among Floridians earning more than $80,000/year. Incumbent CFO Tom Gallagher, a Republican, is not running for re-election.

Filtering: 900 Florida adults were interviewed 9/11/06 - 9/13/06. Of them, 780 were registered to vote. Of them, 512 were judged to be "likely voters" for the Governor and Senate contests. 495 were judged to be "likely voters" for the CFO contest. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 512 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Charlie Crist? Democrat Jim Davis? Or some other candidate?

49% Crist (R)
41% Davis (D)
1% Other
8% Undecided

2
  Asked of 512 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

Florida voters will also elect a United States Senator. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Katherine Harris? Democrat Bill Nelson? Or some other candidate?

38% Harris (R)
53% Nelson (D)
0% Other
9% Undecided

3
  Asked of 495 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.5%

Florida voters will also elect a Chief Financial Officer. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Tom Lee? Or Democrat Alex Sink?

51% Lee (R)
43% Sink (D)
7% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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