Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9888

Geography Surveyed: Massachusetts
Data Collected: 07/31/2006 - 08/02/2006
Release Date: 08/03/2006 10:35 AM ET
Sponsor: WBZ-TV Boston

MA Democratic Governor Primary Tightens: In a Democratic Primary for Governor of Massachusetts today, 8/3/06, Deval Patrick edges Chris Gabrieli and Tom Reilly, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 479 Likely Massachusetts Democratic Primary Voters, conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. Today, 47 days to the 9/19/06 Primary, Patrick gets 35%, Gabrieli 30%, Reilly 27%. In an identical SurveyUSA WBZ-TV poll released 3 weeks ago, on 7/12/06, Patrick led by 10. Today he leads by 5. Gabrieli has gained ground among voters age 35 to 49, who make up one-quarter of the electorate, and among Independents, who make-up 30% of the likely primary voters in SurveyUSA's turnout model. Though self-identified Conservatives make-up just 11% of likely primary voters, Gabrieli has consolidated support among this group, now getting 52% of Conservatives votes, up from 34% in SurveyUSA's most recent poll. The 3 candidates are effectively tied among Moderates. Patrick leads by 2:1 among Liberals. With 8 points separating the three candidates, and considerable volatility among certain demographic groups, any outcome remains possible.

Filtering: 2,400 Massachusetts adults were interviewed 7/31/06 - 8/2/06. Of them, 2,121 were registered voters. Of them, 752 were judged to be "likely voters". Of them, 479 were registered Democrats or Independents who chose a Democratic ballot. Crosstabs reflect Likely Democratic Primary voters.

1
  Asked of 479 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.6%

If the Democratic Primary for Governor of Massachusetts were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Chris Gabrieli? Deval Patrick? Or Tom Reilly?

30% Gabrieli
35% Patrick
27% Reilly
8% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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