Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15953

Geography Surveyed: City of Atlanta
Data Collected: 10/23/2009 - 10/25/2009
Release Date: 10/26/2009 11:10 AM ET
Sponsors: V-103 FM Atlanta, WXIA-TV Atlanta

Norwood Far Ahead in Atlanta Mayor Race, But Can She Avoid a Runoff? In an election for Atlanta Mayor today, 10/26/09, eight days until votes are counted, City Council member Mary Norwood has a commanding lead with 46% of the vote, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV and V-103 FM radio. If Norwood finishes with less than 50% of the vote, she advances to a 12/01/09 runoff, likely against State Senator Kasim Reed, who today finishes 2nd with 26%. If Norwood receives 50% plus 1 vote, she is elected without a runoff -- Atlanta's first white female mayor. Lisa Borders, city council president, today finishes 3rd.

Norwood leads 6:1 among whites, Republicans, and Independents. Reed leads among blacks, who make up 59% of the electorate in SurveyUSA's turnout model. If African Americans vote in larger numbers than seen here, a runoff is possible. If whites vote in larger numbers than the 37% seen here, Norwood avoids a runoff. Reed leads among voters focused on jobs. Norwood leads among voters focused on crime. Reed leads among the less affluent. Norwood leads among the more affluent and the more educated. 8% tell SurveyUSA they have already voted.


Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 Atlanta adults 10/23/09 through 10/25/09, using sample blended from Survey Sampling International of Shelton, CT and Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the adults, 882 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 556 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already cast ballots or to be likely to vote on or before 11/03/09.

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  Asked of 556 Likely & actual voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the election for Atlanta Mayor were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Lisa Borders? Peter Brownlowe? Kyle Keyser? Mary Norwood? Kasim Reed? Or, Jesse Spikes?

17% Borders
1% Brownlowe
1% Keyser
46% Norwood
26% Reed
2% Spikes
1% Other
5% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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