Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10469

Geography Surveyed: Ohio
Data Collected: 10/23/2006 - 10/25/2006
Release Date: 10/26/2006 9:45 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, WYTV-TV Youngstown

Democrat Take-Away in Ohio Governor: In an election for Governor of Ohio today, 10/26/06, Democrat Ted Strickland wins decisively over Republican Ken Blackwell, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll of 563 likely Ohio voters conducted for WKYC-TV Cleveland, WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WYTV-TV Youngstown. Strickland led by 28 in an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 10/12/06. Today leads by 30.

Democrat Take-Away Now Certain in Ohio U.S. Senate: In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, 10/26/06, Democrat challenger Sherrod Brown unseats incumbent Republican Mike DeWine, 57% to 37%, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for WKYC-TV Cleveland, WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WYTV-TV Youngstown. Brown led by 14 in an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll on 10/12/06. Today, Brown leads by 20. Brown's lead among males is up from 1 point on 10/12/06 to 13 points today; up from 12 points among white voters to 18 points today. In Western Ohio, DeWine led by 18 2 weeks ago, trails by 10 today, a 28-point swing to the Democrat.

Issue 2 Passes: Issue 2 passes in a referendum today, 49% Yes to 16% No. Though 35% of voters are not yet Certain how they will vote on 2, late deciders are splitting evenly. Issue 2 had led by 32 points on 10/12/06, today leads by 33 points. The measure is supported 3:1 by whites and 6:1 by blacks.

Opposition Growing to Issue 3: In a referendum today, 10/26/06, Issue 3 ties, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WKYC-TV Cleveland, WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WYTV-TV Youngstown. Today, 12 days to Election Day, 40% are Certain to vote Yes on 3, 39% are Certain to vote No on 3, and 22% are not yet Certain how they will vote. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 10/12/06, Yes is up 2 points, from 38% to 40%, No is up 9 points from 30% to 39%. Opposition to the Issue has increased 13 points in Central Ohio, 10 points in Eastern Ohio. Opposition has doubled in rural Ohio.

Filtering: 1,000 Ohio adults were interviewed 10/23/06 through 10/25/06. Of them 808 were registered to vote. Of them, 563 were judged to be likely voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 563 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%

If the election for Governor of Ohio were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Ken Blackwell? Democrat Ted Strickland? Green Party candidate Bob Fitrakis? Libertarian Bill Peirce? Or some other candidate?

32% Blackwell (R)
62% Strickland (D)
1% Fitrakis (G)
1% Peirce (L)
3% Other/Undecided

2
  Asked of 563 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

If the election for United States Senator were today, who would you vote for? Republican Mike Dewine? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Or some other candidate?

37% DeWine (R)
57% Brown (D)
6% Other/Undecided

3
  Asked of 563 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

Also on the ballot is State Issue 2, about the minimum wage. On Issue 2, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain how you will vote on Issue 2?

49% "Certain" Yes
16% "Certain" No
35% Not Certain

4
  Asked of 563 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

Also on the ballot is State Issue 3, about slot machines. On Issue 3, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain how you will vote on Issue 3?

40% "Certain" Yes
39% "Certain" No
22% Not Certain

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