Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10435

Geography Surveyed: Illinois
Data Collected: 10/20/2006 - 10/22/2006
Release Date: 10/23/2006 12:50 PM ET
Sponsor: KSDK-TV St. Louis

A Pox on Both Your Houses? Green Candidate Whitney Emerges As Factor in IL Governor Race: In an election for Governor of Illinois today, 10/23/06, incumbent Democrat Rod Blagojevich's support is down, Republican challenger Judy Baar Topinka's support is down, and Green Party Candidate Rich Whitney's support has doubled, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSDK-TV St. Louis. Blagojevich today gets 44%, down 1 from an identical SurveyUSA KSDK-TV poll released 9/20/06. Topinka gets 34% today, down 5 points from 9/20. Whitney gets 14%, twice the 7% he got on 9/20. SurveyUSA observes that in two Governor polls released today 10/23, all "major party" candidtaes are down; minor party candidates are up. Could this mean that the anti-Republican sentiment detected in a number of SurveyUSA polls over the past 21 days is now manifesting itself more generally into an anti-establishment, anti-insider movement? Time, and more polling, will tell. It is possible the phenomenon is limited to Maine and Illinois, and not extensible elsewhere. That said, it is interesting enough to take note of, here. Among Illinois independents, the candidates are effectively tied: Topinka gets 31%, Whitney 29%, Blagojevich 27%. Topinka had led Blagojevich by 12 among Independents, now leads Whitney by 2 in this group, where Whitney has doubled his support. 73% of Democrats vote for Blagojevich. 74% of Republicans vote for Topinka. Among female voters, Blagojevich is down 10 points; Whitney is getting many of these female votes; his support has tripled, from 4% to 11%, among women. Among white voters, Topinka is down 5, Blagojevich is down 4. Whitney is up 9. In the Collar Counties of Chicago, Blagojevich is down 9, Topinka is down 2. Whitney is up 13. Blagojevich leads 3:1 in Chicago. Topinka leads 4:3 downstate. Blagojevich was first elected Governor in 2002. Topinka has been Illinois Treasurer since 1994.

Filtering: 1,000 Illinois adults were interviewed 10/20/06 - 10/22/06. Of them, 888 were registered to vote. Of them, 578 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 578 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Judy Baar Topinka? Democrat Rod Blagojevich? Green Party candidate Rich Whitney? Or some other candidate?

34% Topinka (R)
44% Blagojevich (D)
14% Whitney (G)
8% Other/Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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