Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #11894
Geography Surveyed: California
Data Collected: 03/03/2007 - 03/05/2007
Release Date: 03/06/2007 12:40 PM ET
Sponsors: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco
NEW YORKERS CLINTON & GIULIANI GRAB DOUBLE-DIGIT LEADS IN GOLD RUSH FOR 2008 CALIFORNIA DELEGATES
CA Democratic Primary: 11 months to the newly accelerated and suddenly critical California Democratic Primary, New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton sits 13 points atop Illinois Senator Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 782 Likely California Democratic Primary voters, conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco and KGTV-TV San Diego. Today it's: Clinton 44%, Obama 31%, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards 10%, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson 4%. Clinton and Obama are tied among males. Clinton's lead comes entirely from females, where she leads by 22 points. Clinton leads by 8 points among whites, by 33 points among Hispanics. Obama leads by 24 points among blacks. Clinton leads Obama by 19 points in Greater Los Angeles. The two are effectively tied in Greater San Francisco.
CA Republican Primary: 11 months to the make-or-break California Republican Primary, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani appears to have Arizona Senator John McCain outflanked on multiple fronts, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 562 Likely California Republican Primary voters conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco and KGTV-TV San Diego. Today, it's Giuliani 41%, McCain 23%, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich 13%, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 8%. Giuliani leads McCain among Pro-Choice voters, and among Pro-Life voters, McCain runs 3rd behind Giuliani and Gingrich; Giuliani leads among both those who support and those who oppose same-sex marriage; Giuliani leads among those who are for stem-cell research and those against it; Giuliani leads among those who own guns and those who don't; Giuliani leads among those who think global warming is real and among those who think global warming is made-up; and Giuliani leads among those who think the USA needs a military draft and among those who think the USA does not. Giuliani leads McCain 2:1 among Conservatives, where McCain runs 3rd to Gingrich; Giuliani leads McCain by 20 points among Moderates. McCain, from the neighboring state of Arizona, does not get above 26% in any age group nor in any region of California.
Filtering: 2,400 state of California adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 3/3/07 through 3/5/07. Of them, 2,040 were registered to vote. Of them, 562 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 2/5/08 Republican Presidential Primary; 782 were identified as likely to vote in the 2/5/08 Democratic Presidential Primary. Results here are based on interviews with Likely Voters.
|Asked of 562 likely republican primary voters|
|Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.|
|If the Republican Primary were today, would you vote for... Rudy Giuliani? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Newt Gingrich? Or some other Republican?|
|Asked of 782 likely democratic primary voters|
|Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.6 percentage points.|
|If the Democratic Primary were today, would you vote for... Hillary Rodham Clinton? Barack Obama? John Edwards? Bill Richardson? Or some other Democrat?|
|Complete Interactive Crosstabs|
|Statement of Methodology|
|© 2007 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations|