Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10622
Geography Surveyed: IN 9th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/31/2006 - 11/02/2006
Release Date: 11/03/2006 10:50 AM ET
Sponsor: WHAS-TV Louisville
Anything Possible in Indiana 9: In an election for U.S. House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 11/3/06, incumbent Republican Mike Sodrel has momentum at the finish line, but it is unclear if this is enough to carry him to re-election, according to a poll of 538 likely voters conducted by SurveyUSA exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville. Sodrel gets 46% today, slightly ahead of but still within the margin of sampling error of Democrat challenger Baron Hill, who is at 44%. In 2 previous SurveyUSA WHAS-TV tracking polls, Hill had led, by 2 points in early October and then by 4 points in late October. At the wire, Sodrel appears to be consolidating support among males. Two weeks ago, Sodrel led by 2 among males. Today he leads by 12. 83% of Republicans vote Republican. 77% of Democrats vote Democrat. Independents split. Libertarian Eric Schansberg gets 5% in today's poll, which, in a contest this close, will make a difference. Because Schansberg's support is disproportionately Liberal, he appears to take more votes from the Democrat Hill than the Republican Sodrel. Turnout will decide the winner.
Hill was elected to represent Indiana's 9th District in 1998, 2000, and 2002. Sodrel, who had lost to Hill 51-46 in 2002, captured the seat for the Republicans in 2004, defeating Hill by one-half of one percentage point.
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Filtering: 1,000 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District were interviewed 10/31/06 through 11/2/06. Of them, 821 were registered to vote. Of them, 538 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
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Asked of 538 Likely Voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.3 percentage points. |
46% | Sodrel (R) |
44% | Hill (D) |
5% | Schansberg (L) |
4% | Other/Undecided |
Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
Statement of Methodology | |
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