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McCain Appears to Have Huckabee Out-Flanked in Texas GOP Primary:
In a Republican Primary in Texas today, 02/18/08, 15 days to the vote, John McCain defeats Mike Huckabee, if John McCain supporters do in fact turn-out to vote, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KTRK-TV Houston, KTVT-TV Dallas, and KRLD-AM radio Dallas. Today, it's McCain 50%, Huckabee 37%, Ron Paul 7%. McCain leads among the groups you would expect, but McCain also leads Huckabee among groups that Huckabee carried in Virginia, and that Huckabee would have to carry in Texas in order to have a chance for a symbolic upset here. For example: among Pro-Life voters, McCain, not Huckabee, leads. Among Conservatives, McCain leads. Among those who attend religious services regularly, McCain leads. Only among voters focused on Immigration, and among the youngest voters, does Huckabee lead. Among women, McCain and Huckabee tie. Because McCain is almost certain to be the Republican nominee, it is difficult to estimate how motivated his supporters will be to turn-out on Primary Day. Because Texas's 140 convention delegates are awarded proportionally, not Winner-Take-All, the actual size of McCain's showing, relative to Huckabee, is meaningful.
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