3-Way Slugfest in MA Democrat Primary: In a Democratic Primary for Governor of Massachusetts today, 5/4/06, the 3 candidates are tightly bunched, and the lead has changed hands, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 421 Likely Democratic Primary Voters, conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. Today: 20 weeks to the 9/19 Primary, Tom Reilly gets 32%, Chris Gabrieli gets 29% and Deval Patrick gets 28%. Since an identical SurveyUSA / WBZ-TV poll released 24 days ago, on 4/24/06, Gabrieli has gained 10 points; Patrick has lost 8 points and fallen from 1st place to 3rd place; and Reilly has lost 1 point. Among self-described "Independents," who make up 30% of the likely voter pool in SurveyUSA's voter turnout model, Patrick has lost 8 points, Reilly has lost 4 points, and Gabrieli has gained 9 points. Among Moderates, Gabrieli and Patrick have traded places. Among Liberals, there has been little movement. The contest is a 3-way tie in Greater Boston. In Western and Central Massachusetts, Reilly has a 9-point lead. Patrick has fallen 13 points among those who earn $40,000 to $80,000 a year. Patrick has fallen 14 points among those who earn less than $40,000 a year. |