Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10436

Geography Surveyed: Colorado
Data Collected: 10/20/2006 - 10/22/2006
Release Date: 10/23/2006 2:00 PM ET
Sponsor: KUSA-TV Denver

Steady As She Goes in Colorado; Democrat Take-Away In State House: In an election for Governor of Colorado today, 10/20/06, Democrat Bill Ritter defeats Republican Bob Beauprez 56% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver. The election is in 15 days, on 11/7/06. Since an identical SurveyUSA KUSA-TV poll released 9/28/06, Ritter has gained a statistically insignificant 1 point and Beauprez is unchanged; effectively unchanged. Ritter leads by 30 points among women and by 6 points among men. Ritter gets 91% of Democrat votes. Beauprez gets 79% of Republican votes. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat Ritter. Independents favor Ritter 58% to 25%. Those who approve of President Bush's performance support Beauprez 82% to 14%. Those who disapprove of Bush support Ritter 81% to 11%. 36% of likely voters in Colorado approve of Bush. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Owens is term-limited. Should Ritter win, the State House will switch from Republican to Democrat. Beauprez currently represents Colorado's 7th Congressional District in the U.S. House.

Amendment 42 Opposition Growing: In a referendum in Colorado today, 10/23/06, Amendment 42, raising Colorado's minimum wage, passes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver, but one third of likely voters are still not certain how they will vote on Amendment 42. 42% of Colorado likely voters are certain to vote "Yes", effectively unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA poll last month. 26% today are certain to vote "No", effectively double the opposition from the past month. Of those voters who are certain how they will vote, Democrats support the amendment 5:1, Independents support it 2:1. Republicans now oppose by 2:1, compared with 3:2 support on 9/28. SurveyUSA did not read the complete text of the Amendment to respondents. The exact language SurveyUSA read to respondents appears in the table below.

Amendments 43 and 44 Too-Close-To-Call; Referendum K Unknown to Voters: In a referendum in Colorado today, 10/23/06, Amendments 43 and 44 are closely contested, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver. On Amendment 43, concerning marriage, 30% today are certain to vote "Yes." 35% are certain to vote "No". 34% of likely voters are not certain how they will vote on 43. On Amendment 44, concerning marijuana, 36% today are certain to vote "Yes." 43% are certain to vote "No." 21% of likely voters are not certain how they will vote on 44. On Referendum K, about immigration, 63% of likely voters are uncertain how they will vote. No conclusions can be drawn about Referendum K. SurveyUSA did not read the complete text of these measures to respondents. The exact language SurveyUSA read to respondents appears in the tables below.

Filtering: 1,000 Colorado adults were interviewed 10/20/06 - 10/22/06. Of them, 856 were registered to vote. Of them, 594 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 594 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Beauprez? Democrat Bill Ritter? Libertarian Dawn Winkler? American Constitution Party candidate Clyde Harkins? Independent Paul Fiorino? Or some other candidate?

38% Beauprez (R)
56% Ritter (D)
1% Winkler (L)
1% Harkins (ACP)
1% Fiorino (I)
3% Other/Undecided

2
  Asked of 594 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

Also on the ballot is Amendment 42, about the minimum wage. On Amendment 42, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or, are you not yet certain how you will vote on Amendment 42?

42% 'Certain' Yes
26% 'Certain' No
33% Not Certain

3
  Asked of 594 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

Also on the ballot is Amendment 43, about marriage. On Amendment 43, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or, are you not yet certain how you will vote on Amendment 43?

30% 'Certain' Yes
35% 'Certain' No
34% Not Certain

4
  Asked of 594 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

Also on the ballot is Amendment 44, about marijuana. On Amendment 44, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or, are you not yet certain how you will vote on Amendment 44?

36% 'Certain' Yes
43% 'Certain' No
21% Not Certain

5
  Asked of 594 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

Also on the ballot is Referendum K, about immigration. On Referendum K, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or, are you not yet certain how you will vote on Referendum K?

19% 'Certain' Yes
18% 'Certain' No
63% Not Certain

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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