Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13345

Geography Surveyed: Virginia
Data Collected: 02/09/2008 - 02/10/2008
Release Date: 02/11/2008 7:05 AM ET
Sponsors: WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC, WTVR-TV Richmond

Eve of VA Democratic Primary: No Late Charge from Clinton; Obama Will Get Larger Share of Delegates: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Virginia Democratic Primary, Barack Obama is positioned to capture a majority of convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary poll, conducted for WJLA-TV Washington DC, WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WTVR-TV Richmond. Today it's Obama 60%, Clinton 38%, not materially different from a SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, which showed Obama 59%, Clinton 39%. Voters in the DC suburbs moved to Obama over the weekend, increasing his advantage there. Voters in the Shenandoah moved to Clinton over the weekend, increasing her advantage there. The movement was offsetting. Obama held his ground among voters under age 50, and gained ground among voters age 50+. Among voters age 65+, Clinton had led by 5 on Friday, now less.

Filtering: 1,700 VA adults were interviewed 02/09/08 and 02/10/08. Half of interviews were conducted before Obama wins in Louisiana Primary, Nebraska caucus and Washington state caucus were known. Half of interviews were conducted after. All of interviews were conducted after NBC newsman was suspended over comments about Chelsea Clinton and Clinton campaign threatened to withdraw from scheduled NBC debate over those comments. Of the adults, 1,516 were registered to vote. Of them, 596 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Democratic primary.

  Asked of 596 Likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

38% Clinton
60% Obama
2% Other
1% Undecided

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