MA Governor's Race Stabilizes, with Patrick 25 Points Atop Healey: In an election for Governor of Massachusetts today, 10/24/06, Democrat Deval Patrick defeats Republican Kerry Healey 56% to 31%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. On 9/22/06, immediately following Patrick's decisive win in the Primary, and amidst great favorable publicity, a SurveyUSA poll showed Patrick ahead by 39 points. A subsequent poll, conducted after Healey regained her footing, showed Patrick ahead by 18 points. Today's poll appears to establish a type of equilibrium. Compared to the 10/11 poll, Patrick has gained 4 points and Healey has lost 3 points.
Patrick's gains have all come from male voters. Patrick had trailed by 2 points among men, now leads by 15, a 17-point improvement. Women favor Patrick by 33 points, down from 36.
Patrick gets 78% of Democrat votes. Healey gets 71% of Republican votes. Among Republicans, Healey's lead has decreased from 66 points to 52 points. Patrick leads by 12 points among Independents. Since Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than 2:1 among MA likely voters, Healey needs to score heavily among Independents to have a chance. Incumbent Republican Mitt Romney is not running for re-election. Healey is currently Lieutenant Governor of MA. Republicans have held the MA Governorship since 1991.