Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13282

Geography Surveyed: New York
Data Collected: 01/30/2008 - 01/31/2008
Release Date: 02/01/2008 6:10 AM ET
Sponsors: WABC-TV New York, WGRZ-TV Buffalo, WHEC-TV Rochester, WNYT-TV Albany, WTNH-TV Hartford-New Haven

In NY Democratic Primary, Edwards' Supporters Move to Obama, But Clinton Still Runs Strong: In a Democratic Primary in New York state today, 02/01/08, 4 days to the vote, Barack Obama is gaining ground, but it is unclear if he has the means or the momentum to upset Hillary Clinton in her home state. Clinton is at 54%, Obama 38% today, in interviews conducted immediately after John Edwards withdrew from the contest. Compared to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted immediately after Clinton's win in New Hampshire, but before Obama's win in South Carolina and Clinton's win in Florida, Clinton is down 2, Obama is up 8. Among men, Obama is up 16 points. Clinton leads by 37 among women. Obama leads by 12 among men. A 49-point Gender Gap. Clinton leads by 25 among whites. Obama leads by 25 among blacks.

Filtering / Timing: 2,700 New York state adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known, but before the California debate between Obama and Clinton at 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. Of the adults, 2,391 were registered to vote. Of them, 950 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary. 23% of likely voters say they may still change their mind, 4 days to the Primary. Research conducted for WABC-TV New York City, WGRZ-TV Buffalo, WHEC-TV Rochester, WNYT-TV Albany and WTNH-TV New Haven.

  Asked of 950 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.2 percentage points.

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

54% Clinton
38% Obama
4% Other
4% Undecided

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