Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12861

Geography Surveyed: Minnesota
Data Collected: 10/24/2007 - 10/28/2007
Release Date: 11/05/2007
Sponsor: Roll Call Newspaper, Capitol Hill

2008 U.S. Senate Election in Minnesota

Franken vs Coleman Tied ... Ciresi vs Coleman Tied: In an election for United States Senate in Minnesota today, 11/05/07, one year to the vote, both Democratic challengers, Al Franken and Mike Ciresi, run even with incumbent Republican Norm Coleman, in head-to-head match-ups, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill. Coleman runs exactly even with Ciresi, 44% each. Coleman runs a statistically insignificant 1 point ahead of Franken, 46% to 45%. Coleman holds 89% of the GOP base against either opponent. Both Democrats hold 84% of the Democratic base against Coleman. Among Independents, Coleman leads by 6 against Franken and by 4 against Ciresi. Among Moderates, Franken leads by 5, Ciresi leads by 8. Franken runs 20 points better among women than among men. Ciresi runs 25 points better among women than among men.

Favorability Numbers for Senate Candidates and Congressional Leaders: Coleman: 36% Favorable, 37% Unfavorable, 20% Neutral, 6% Unfamiliar. Net Favorability = Minus 1 ... Franken: 22%, 37%, 22%, 18%. Net = Minus 15 ... Ciresi : 12%, 18%, 27%, 43%. Net = Minus 6 ... Nancy Pelosi: 25%, 36%, 24%, 16%. Net = Minus 11 ... Harry Reid: 18%, 30%, 26%, 25%. Net = Minus 12 ... Mitch McConnell: 15%, 25%, 27%, 30%. Net = Minus 10 ... John Boehner: 16%, 25%, 25%, 33%. Net = Minus 9 ... 21% of those who have an un-favorable impression of Mike Ciresi still vote for him over Coleman. 37% of those who are "unfamiliar" with Ciresi still vote for him over Coleman. Franken's favorable numbers are 10 points higher than Ciresi's, but that does not translate into a better showing for Franken, whose unfavorable numbers are twice Ciresi's. President Bush's Job Approval is 29% in MN. 18% of Minnesota voters approve of the job Congress is doing.

Congress Should Focus on Iraq Ahead of All Other Issues: Asked which one of eight issues Congress should focus on ahead of all others, 22% of Minnesotans pick Iraq, 18% pick health care. Among voters who pick Iraq: Franken leads by 44 points, Ciresi leads by 46 points. Among voters who want Congress to focus on health care, Franken leads by 29, Ciresi leads by 24.

Filtering: 750 Minnesota adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/24/07 through 10/28/07. Of them, 692 were registered to vote and were included in this survey.

1
  Asked of 692 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

Is your opinion of Norm Coleman ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Norm Coleman?

36% Favorable
37% Unfavorable
20% Neutral
6% Unfamiliar

2
  Asked of 692 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

Is your opinion of Al Franken ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Al Franken?

22% Favorable
37% Unfavorable
22% Neutral
18% Unfamiliar

3
  Asked of 692 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

Is your opinion of Mike Ciresi ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Mike Ciresi?

12% Favorable
18% Unfavorable
27% Neutral
43% Unfamiliar

4
  Asked of 692 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

If there were an election for United States Senate today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Norm Coleman and Democrat Al Franken, who would you vote for?

46% Coleman (R)
45% Franken (D)
9% Undecided

5
  Asked of 692 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Norm Coleman and Democrat Mike Ciresi? Who would you vote for?

44% Coleman (R)
44% Ciresi (D)
12% Undecided

6
  Asked of 680 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

29% Approve
60% Disapprove
11% Not Sure

7
  Asked of 676 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.7 percentage points.

Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing?

18% Approve
65% Disapprove
17% Not Sure

8
  Asked of 652 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

Democrat Nancy Pelosi is Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Is your impression of Nancy Pelosi .... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no impression?

25% Favorable
36% Unfavorable
24% Neutral
16% No Impression
0% Not Sure

9
  Asked of 639 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

Democrat Harry Reid is Majority Leader of the United States Senate. If your impression of Harry Reid is ...

18% Favorable
30% Unfavorable
26% Neutral
25% No Impression
1% Not Sure

10
  Asked of 615 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

Republican Mitch McConnell is the Minority Leader of the United States Senate. If your impression of McConnell is ...

15% Favorable
25% Unfavorable
27% Neutral
30% No Impression
3% Not Sure

11
  Asked of 605 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

Republican John Boehner is Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives. If your impression of Boehner is...

16% Favorable
25% Unfavorable
25% Neutral
33% No Impression
1% Not Sure

12
  Asked of 599 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

Which one issue should Congress focus on ahead of all others? The economy? The environment? Health care? Iraq? Terrorism? Social Security? Education? Immigration? Or some other issue?

15% Economy
6% Environment
18% Health Care
22% Iraq
11% Terrorism
4% Social Security
9% Education
11% Immigration
3% Other
1% Not Sure

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