Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13216

Geography Surveyed: San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose DMA
Data Collected: 01/20/2008 - 01/21/2008
Release Date: 01/22/2008 10:25 AM ET
Sponsor: KPIX-TV San Francisco

In SFO Bay Area, McCain Leads GOP Field By 24 Points: If a California Republican Primary were held in greater San Francisco today, John McCain would win decisively, according to this exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KPIX-TV. McCain beats Mitt Romney by 2:1, beats Rudolph Giuliani 3:1, beats Mike Huckabee 4:1, beats Fred Thompson 5:1 and beats Ron Paul 6:1. McCain gets 51% of the youngest voters and 48% of the oldest. McCain leads by 17 among Conservatives and by 31 among Moderates, but Ron Paul leads by 9 points among the small group of Bay Area Likely Republican Primary Voters who describe themselves as Liberals.

Comparison to the Entire State of California: When compared to results from SurveyUSA's most recent statewide poll, released 8 days ago, McCain runs 8 points higher here than he does statewide. Romney runs 4 points higher here than he does throughout California. The statewide poll was taken prior to Romney's victories in Michigan and Nevada, and McCain's win in South Carolina.

Filtering: 1,750 adults from the San Francisco TV Viewing Area were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/20/08 through 01/21/08. Of the adults, 1,562 were registered to vote. Of them, 303 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in a hypothetical Republican Presidential Primary of just the San Francisco Bay area. All interviews completed after results of the Nevada Caucus and South Carolina Primary were known.

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  Asked of 303 Adults
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 5.7%

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Rudy Giuliani? Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Fred Thompson? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

13% Giuliani
10% Huckabee
41% McCain
17% Romney
8% Thompson
7% Paul
2% Other
2% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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