Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12095

Geography Surveyed: State of Washington
Data Collected: 05/01/2007 - 05/03/2007
Release Date: 05/03/2007 4:25 PM ET
Sponsor: KING-TV Seattle

Giuliani and McCain Have Twice Support of Nearest Rival in Washington State: In a Republican Primary for President of the United States in Washington State today, May 3, 2007, Rudolph Giuliani and John McCain are effectively tied, with others far back, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely Republican Primary voters conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. Giuliani gets 32% today, McCain 28%. Undeclared candidate Fred Thompson, from the TV show Law and Order, gets approximately half as much support, at 17%. George Romney gets half again as much support as Thompson, at 9%. The difference between Giuliani supporters and McCain supporters is clearly drawn: Giuliani leads among Republicans who say the USA is winning the War on Terror. McCain leads among those who say the Terrorists are winning the War on Terror. McCain leads among those who say the USA needs a military draft. Giuliani leads among those who say the USA does not need a military draft. Giuliani leads among the small number of Republicans who support same-sex marriage; McCain and Giuliani tie among the large number of Repbulican primary voters who oppose same-sex marriage. McCain leads among those who think global warming is real. Giuliani leads among those who think global warming is made-up. McCain leads, although barely, among pro-life Republicans. Giuliani leads among pro-choice Republicans.

Clinton 8 Atop Obama and 19 Atop Edwards in Washington State: In a Democratic Primary for President of the United States in Washington State today, May 3, 2007, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama and John Edwards, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely Democratic Primary voters conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. Clinton gets 38% today, Obama 30%, Edwards 19%. Clinton runs 18 points better among WA state women than among men. Obama leads among male Democrats. Obama leads, barely, among Democrats with a current passport. Clinton leads 2:1 among WA Democrats who do not have a current passport. Clinton leads Obama by 4 points in Metropolitan Seattle. Clinton leads by almost 2:1 in Eastern and Western Washington state. Clinton leads Obama 2:1 among voters age 65+. Obama leads Clinton among voters age 35 to 49.

Timing: Interviews for this survey were conducted after the Democratic candidates debated in South Carolina on 4/26/07 but before the Republican candidates debated in California on 05/03/07.

Filtering: 2,400 state of Washington adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA. Of them, 2,061 were registered to vote. Of them, 669 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in a Democratic Primary, 497 were identified as likely to vote in a Republican Primary. The likely voters were included in this survey. There's just one problem: In 2004, the state of Washington cancelled its Presidential Primary. In 2008, the date of the Primary is uncertain, as it is in a number of other states. But unique to Washington state is whether the results of any primary, held on whatever date, will or will not "count." One or both of the political parties in Washington state may decide to ignore the votes from a state primary, if one is held, and instead count only the votes from separately staged caucuses. This situation is fluid, as of 05/03/07.