Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14403

Geography Surveyed: OH 15th Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/19/2008 - 09/21/2008
Release Date: 09/22/2008 9:30 AM ET
Sponsors: Roll Call Newspaper, Capitol Hill, WCMH-TV Columbus

In Ohio 15, Democrats Have Opportunity to Pick-Up Seat Held by Retiring Republican Pryce: In an election for U.S. House of Representatives today, 09/22/08, six weeks till votes are counted, to fill the open seat in Ohio's 15th Congressional District, Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy maintains a slight edge over Republican Steve Stivers, within the survey's margin of sampling error, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill, and WCMH-TV Columbus. Today, it's Kilroy 47%, Stivers 42%, Independent Don Eckhart 5%, Libertarian Mark Noble 3%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll conducted 6 weeks ago, the Democrat Kilroy is flat, the Republican Stivers is down 2. The Democrat had led by 3, now leads by 5. This movement comes from two groups: voters age 50+, where there has been a 7-point swing to the Democrat; and whites, where there has been a 5-point swing to the Democrat. Kilroy has a Net Favorability of Plus 5. Stivers has a Net Favorability of Plus 10. Deborah Pryce has a Net Favorability of Plus 21. John McCain has a Net Favorability of Plus 4. Barack Obama has a Net Favorability of Plus 3. 32% in the district approve of the job President Bush is doing. 14% approve of the job the US Congress is doing. By 2:1, voters in the district say they prefer a candidate for Congress who says alternative sources of energy are key to the country's future rather than a candidate who says that offshore drilling is key to the country's energy independence. A majority in the district say that Congress should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues. Of those focused on the economy, Kilroy leads by 14 points. Of those focused on terrorism, Stivers leads 7:1.

Filtering: 900 adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/19/08 through 09/21/08. Of them, 732 were registered to vote in Ohio's 15th District. Of the registered voters, 640 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Republican Pryce was first elected to Congress in 1992. She announced in 2007 that she would not seek a 9th term. The District, which extends Westward from Columbus through portions of Franklin, Union and Madison counties, last elected a Democrat when John F. Kennedy was president.