Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18745

Geography Surveyed: USA 50 States
Data Collected: 11/15/2011
Release Date: 11/16/2011 11:00 AM ET
Sponsor: SurveyUSA America's Pollster

Obama 46%, Romney 44% in Nationwide SurveyUSA Poll; Cell-Phone Respondents Are Difference Between Re-Election and Democrat Defeat.

In a nationwide election for President today, 11/16/11, incumbent Democrat Barack Obama narrowly edges Republican challenger Mitt Romney, 46% to 44%, according to SurveyUSA poll of 1,000 registered voters. If the survey only includes landline (home-phone) respondents, Romney wins.

Among respondents who use a home telephone (72% of registered voters), Romney leads by 6 points. Among respondents who do not use a home telephone (28% of registered voters), and who were contacted by SurveyUSA on their cell phone or other electronic device, Obama leads by 22 points. When the two populations are proportionally blended, Obama is up by 2 points, within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error.

When Obama is paired head-to-head against Newt Gingrich, Obama is up by 11 points, 51% to 40%. Gingrich trails Obama only by 2 points among respondents who use a home telephone, but trails by 35 points among respondents who do not use a home telephone. When the two populations are proportionally blended, Obama is up by 11.

Independents significantly affect outcome: When Obama is paired against Romney, independent voters split 43% to 43%. When Obama is paired against Gingrich, independent voters break 5:3 Democrat.


1
  Asked of 1000 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.2 percentage points.

If there were an election for president today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

46% Obama (D)
44% Romney (R)
10% Undecided

2
  Asked of 1000 registered voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.2 percentage points.

What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Newt Gingrich?

51% Obama (D)
40% Gingrich (R)
9% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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