Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10036

Geography Surveyed: OK 5th Congressional District
Data Collected: 08/18/2006 - 08/20/2006
Release Date: 08/21/2006 11:45 AM ET
Sponsor: KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

Fallin Defeats Cornett in OK5 GOP Runoff: On the eve of the 8/22/06 Republican runoff election in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, Mary Fallin defeats Mick Cornett, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KFOR-TV Oklahoma City. Today, Fallin gets 61%, up 3 points from an identical poll 1 week ago. Cornett gets 36%, down 3 points. Fallin's lead has increased from 19 points to 25 points. All of this increase comes from voters under age 35, who supoorted Cornett by 15 points a week ago, but now support Fallin by 20 points. In the 7/25/06 Primary, Fallin finished ahead of Cornett by 10 points but failed to get a majority of votes cast. 67% of those who voted for Denise Bode in the Primary now support Fallin. Fallin leads 5:2 among seniors and 2:1 among voters age 50-64. The winner will face Democrat David Hunter in November. Fallin is currently Oklahoma's Lieutenant Governor. Cornett is currently Mayor of Oklahoma City. The House seat is open: incumbent Republican Ernest Istook is leaving Congress to run for Governor this year. Republicans have a 29-seat majority in the House, which they seek to maintain. Democrats see an open seat as an opportunity to pick up a seat in Congress, and regain control.

Filtering: 2,000 adults from Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District were interviewed 8/18/06 - 8/20/06. Of them, 1,735 were registered to vote. Of them, 779 were registered Republicans. Of them, 417 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect Likely Republican Runoff Voters.

1
  Asked of 417 Likely Republican Runoff Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.8 percentage points.

If the Republican Runoff were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Mick Cornett? Or Mary Fallin?

36% Cornett
61% Fallin
4% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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