Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10432

Geography Surveyed: OH 6th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/16/2006 - 10/18/2006
Release Date: 10/19/2006 10:45 AM ET
Sponsor: WYTV-TV Youngstown

Open House Seat in OH6 Turns Into a 2:1 Rout for Democrat Wilson: In an election in Ohio's 6th Congressional District today, 10/19/06, Democrat Charlie Wilson defeats Republican Chuck Blasdel 64% to 32%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WYTV-TV Youngstown. Since an identical SurveyUSA WYTV-TV poll 9/29/06, Wilson has gained 10 points and Blasdel has lost 9 points. Wilson's lead has grown from 13 points to 32 points. Independents now favor Wilson by 44 points, a 51-point swing from 3 weeks ago when they favored Blasdel by 7 points. Wilson gets 91% of Democrat votes. Blasdel gets 81% of Republican votes. Although support for each candidate within his own party has not changed significantly, Democrats have gone from a 12-point advantage to a 21-point advantage in the composition of OH6 likely voters. Today, 52% of likely voters identify themselves as Democrats, 31% identify themselves as Republicans. Wilson leads by 42 points among women, a 17-point gain, and by 20 points among men, a 21-point gain. Wilson won the 5/2/06 Democratic Primary as a write-in candidate after failing to get enough valid signatures to be on the Primary ballot. The OH6 House seat is open: incumbent Democratic Congressman Ted Strickland is running for Ohio Governor this year. The election is in 19 days, on 11/7/06.

Filtering: 800 Registered Voters from Ohio's 6th Congressional District, chosen using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 10/16/06 - 10/18/06. Of them, 570 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 570 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Chuck Blasdel? Or Democrat Charlie Wilson?

32% Blasdel (R)
64% Wilson (D)
3% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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