Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10642

Geography Surveyed: Ohio
Data Collected: 11/03/2006 - 11/05/2006
Release Date: 11/06/2006 9:45 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, WYTV-TV Youngstown

Ohio Throws Out Republican Governor and Republican U.S. Senator: On Election Eve, Ohio voters are poised to elect Democrat Ted Strickland as Governor and Democrat Sherrod Brown as U.S. Senator, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-election tracking poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WYTV-TV Youngstown and WKYC-TV Cleveland. In 6 SurveyUSA pre-election tracking polls for Governor, Strickland never polled below 53%, Republican Ken Blackwell never polled above 38%. In 6 SurveyUSA pre-election polls for U.S. Senate, Brown never polled below 48%, incumbent Republican DeWine never polled above 42%. The governor's seat is open.

Support Flat, Opposition Growing to Issue 2; Any Outcome Possible: In a referendum today, Election Eve, on Ohio's Issue 2, about the minimum wage, 48% of voters are certain they will vote 'Yes,' 29% of voters are certain they will vote 'No,' but 23% of likely voters say they are still not certain how they will vote on the ballot measure, 24 hours till polls close. Support for the measure is largely unchanged across 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls. Opposition to the measure has grown from 12% on 10/12, to 16% on 10/26 to 29% today. Republicans oppose. Democrats support. Conservatives oppose. Moderates and Liberals support. Lower-income voters support. Higher-income voters oppose.

Issue 3 Now Tied, But Opposition Growing Faster Than Support: In a referendum today on Issue 3, about slot machines, 43% of voters are certain to vote 'No,' 41% of voters are certain to vote 'Yes,' 16% of voters are not certain yet how they will vote. Support for the measure is comparatively flat across 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls: 38%, 40%, 41%. But opposition is growing: 30%, 39%, 43%. Women oppose. Men are divided. Younger voters support. Older voters oppose. Blacks support. Whites oppose. Eastern Ohio supports. Central and Western Ohio opposes.

Filtering: 1,000 Ohio adults were interviewed 11/3/06 through 11/5/06. Of them, 869 were registered to vote. Of them, 436 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 436 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.8%

If the election for Governor of Ohio were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Ken Blackwell? Democrat Ted Strickland? Green Party candidate Bob Fitrakis? Libertarian Bill Peirce? Or some other candidate?

38% Blackwell (R)
55% Strickland (D)
1% Fitrakis (G)
2% Peirce (L)
4% Other/Undecided

2
  Asked of 436 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.8%

If the election for United States Senator were today, who would you vote for? Republican Mike Dewine? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Or some other candidate?

42% DeWine (R)
54% Brown (D)
4% Other/Undecided

3
  Asked of 436 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.8%

Also on the ballot is State Issue 2, about the minimum wage. On Issue 2, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain how you will vote on Issue 2?

48% "Certain" Yes
29% "Certain" No
23% Not Certain

4
  Asked of 436 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.8%

Also on the ballot is State Issue 3, about slot machines. On Issue 3, are you certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain how you will vote on Issue 3?

41% "Certain" Yes
43% "Certain" No
16% Not Certain

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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