Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10313

Geography Surveyed: AZ 5th Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/15/2006 - 09/17/2006
Release Date: 09/18/2006 11:10 AM ET
Sponsor: KPNX-TV Phoenix

Hayworth Leads by 12 in AZ5: In an election in Arizona's 5th Congressional District today, 9/18/05, incumbent Republican J.D. Hayworth tops Democrat Harry Mitchell, 52% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPNX-TV Phoenix. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Hayworth gets 52% of the vote. Mitchell gets 40%. Libertarian Warren Severin gets 4%. Hayworth gets 83% of Republican votes. Mitchell gets 84% of Democrat votes. Mitchell carries Independents 5:3, but this is not enough to overcome Hayworth's advantage in this heavily Republican district. Mitchell runs strongest among seniors, middle-income voters, and the most educated voters. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's performance in office, 89% choose Hayworth. 74% of those who disapprove of Bush choose Mitchell. President Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Arizona's 5th Congressional District is 47%. Hayworth was first elected to the U.S. Congress in 1994.

Filtering: 800 Registered Voters from Arizona's 5th Congressional District were interviewed 9/15/06 - 9/17/06. Of them, 590 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 590 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican J.D. Hayworth? Democrat Harry Mitchell? Or Libertarian Warren Severin?

52% Hayworth (R)
40% Mitchell (D)
4% Severin (L)
4% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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