Early Votes Continue to Favor Burner, But WA8 Is An Exact Tie at Finish Line: In an election in Washington's 8th Congressional District today, Election Eve, incumbent Republican Dave Reichert and Democratic challenger Darcy Burner are exactly tied, 49% to 49%, according to this 4th and final pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle.
The contest has tightened following SurveyUSA's most recent release, on 10/31, when Reichert led by 6. Since then, female likely voters have swung sharply to Burner. On 10/31, she trailed by 3 among women. Today, she finishes up by 11 among women. Independents see-saw: on 9/27, Reichert led; on 10/18, Burner led; on 10/31, Reichert led; today, Burner leads.
Each of these swings has been small, among a group that represents just 25% of likely voters, but it illustrates just how important every vote is to the winner. Among those poll respondents who have already voted: Burner leads by 8 among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. Reichert leads by 5 among those who tell SurveyUSA they are certain to cast a ballot before polls close, but who have not yet done so. 38% of respondents have already voted; 62% have yet to.