Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18726

Geography Surveyed: Minnesota
Data Collected: 11/02/2011 - 11/06/2011
Release Date: 11/08/2011 12:10 PM ET
Sponsor: KSTP-TV Minneapolis

In Minnesota, DFL Incumbent U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar Has Double-Digit Advantage over Best-Known GOP Challengers;
In Fight for North Star State's 10 Electoral Votes, Obama Defeats All Republican Comers, Though Romney Makes a Go of It.

One year to Election Day, Incumbent U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar leads 2 well-known Minnesota Republicans by a dozen points, and leads lesser known Republicans 2:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis St Paul. In head-to-head matchups today, 11/08/11, among MN registered voters, it is:

* Klobuchar 49%, Tim Pawlenty 37%.
* Klobuchar 50%, Norm Coleman 37%
* Klobuchar 55%, Dan Severson 23%.
* Klobuchar 56%, Joe Arwood 22%.

In head-to-head match-ups for President of the United States, Barack Obama leads all Republican challengers, 1 by less than the 10 percentage points that Obama defeated John McCain by in 2008, the rest by more. Minnesota is a key battleground state that Obama needs to carry to keep the White House. At this hour:

* Obama 45%, Mitt Romney 39%.
* Obama 48%, Rick Perry 35%.
* Obama 48%, Herman Cain 35%.
* Obama 57%, Michele Bachmann 29%, largely unchanged from SurveyUSA polling released 05/24/11.
* Obama 48%, Ron Paul 35%.

Support for an amendment to the MN constitution, to re-define marriage, has nominally declined from an 11-point advantage 6 months ago to a 6-point advantage today.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of MN adults 11/02/11 through 11/07/11. Of the adults, 543 were registered to vote and were asked the substantive questions. The survey was conducted multi-mode. Respondents who use a home phone (78% of adults) were interviewed on their home phone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home phone (22% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet or other electronic device. Interviews for this survey were conducted across 6 days and nights, at a time when Herman Cain was increasingly in the news. Respondents interviewed at the beginning of the field period would have not heard about possible Cain sexual misconduct; respondents interviewed at the end of the field period would have seen and heard from one of Cain's accusers.


1
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If Minnesota faces a budget deficit in 2012, would you prefer the budget be balanced by ... raising taxes? Cutting spending? Or by both raising taxes and cutting spending?

11% Raising Taxes
47% Cutting Spending
38% Both
4% Not Sure

2
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%

If you could only choose one way to balance the state budget, which would you prefer? Raising taxes? Or cutting spending?

28% Raising Taxes
65% Cutting Spending
7% Not Sure

3
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%

Should daycare workers in the state of Minnesota form labor unions and be considered as public employees?

19% Yes
68% No
13% Not Sure

4
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

Should people in Minnesota convicted of murdering a police officer ever be given parole? Or not?

20% Should
62% Should Not
18% Not Sure

5
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Should the Minnesota Vikings keep playing football in the Metrodome without renovating it? Should they renovate the stadium and keep playing in it? Or should a new stadium be built?

22% Keep Playing, Don't Renovate
40% Renovate Metrodome
33% Build New Stadium
6% Not Sure

6
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Should the governor call the state legislature into special session to consider a bill to build a new football stadium for the Minnesota Vikings?

35% Yes
55% No
10% Not Sure

7
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

Should legalized gambling be expanded in Minnesota to raise revenue to help finance a new stadium for the Vikings?

58% Yes
36% No
7% Not Sure

8
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%

Should any tax dollars be used to help finance a new stadium for the Vikings? Or should any new stadium be built entirely with private funding?

26% Tax Dollars
65% Entirely With Private Funding
9% Not Sure

9
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8%

Should there be a public vote before any taxes are raised to pay for a Vikings stadium?

73% Yes
21% No
7% Not Sure

10
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If a new Vikings stadium is built, should it be located in Arden Hills? In Minneapolis? Or someplace else?

33% Arden Hills
39% Minneapolis
11% Someplace Else
16% Not Sure

11
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If the Vikings do not get a new stadium, do you think they will move out of Minnesota?

47% Yes
30% No
23% Not Sure

12
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If an amendment to the Minnesota Constitution were on the ballot, that defines marriage as between one man and one woman, would you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?

46% For
40% Against
10% Not Vote
4% Not Sure

13
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Minnesota will elect a United States Senator in November 2012. If the election for US Senate were today, and the only two candidates were DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar and Republican Tim Pawlenty, who would you vote for?

49% Klobuchar (DFL)
37% Pawlenty (R)
14% Undecided

14
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if the only candidates were DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar and Republican Norm Coleman?

50% Klobuchar (DFL)
37% Coleman (R)
14% Undecided

15
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Amy Klobuchar and Republican Dan Severson?

55% Klobuchar (DFL)
23% Severson (R)
22% Undecided

16
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Amy Klobuchar and Republican Joe Arwood?

56% Klobuchar (DFL)
22% Arwood (R)
22% Undecided

17
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Minnesota voters will also elect a President of the United States. If the only candidates on the ballot for President were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

45% Obama (D)
39% Romney (R)
16% Undecided

18
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Obama and Republican Rick Perry?

48% Obama (D)
35% Perry (R)
17% Undecided

19
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Obama and Republican Michele Bachmann?

57% Obama (D)
29% Bachmann (R)
14% Undecided

20
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Obama and Republican Herman Cain?

48% Obama (D)
35% Cain (R)
17% Undecided

21
  Asked of 543 registered voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

What if it were Obama and Republican Ron Paul?

48% Obama (D)
35% Paul (R)
17% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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