Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10546

Geography Surveyed: IN 9th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/20/2006 - 10/22/2006
Release Date: 10/23/2006 11:35 AM ET
Sponsor: WHAS-TV Louisville

Democrat Still Positioned to Take Away GOP Sodrel House Seat in IN9: In an election today, 10/23/06, in Indiana's 9th Congressional District, Democrat challenger Baron Hill continues to lead Republican incumbent Mike Sodrel, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville. The election is in 15 days, on 11/7/06. Since an identical SurveyUSA WHAS-TV poll 2 weeks ago, Hill has lost 1 point, from 48% to 47%. Sodrel has lost 3 points, from 46% to 43%. Hill had led by 2, now leads by 4. Both results are within the poll's 4.4 percent margin of sampling error, but the advantage is with the Democrat. Libertarian Eric Schansberg has gained 3 points, from 2% to 5%, and may be a "spoiler" here, siphoning key Male votes and Independent votes from Sodrel. Hill gets 82% of Democrat votes. Sodrel gets 78% of Republican votes. Among Independents, Sodrel had been tied, now is down 7 points. All of those votes have gone to the Libertarian. Conservatives support Sodrel 5:1. Liberals support Hill 9:1. Moderates go for Hill by a 37-point margin, up 10 points in the past 2 weeks. Hill was elected to represent Indiana's 9th District in 1998, 2000, and 2002. Sodrel, who had lost to Hill 51-46 in 2002, captured the seat for the Republicans in 2004, defeating Hill by one-half of one percentage point.

Filtering: 1,000 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District were interviewed 10/20/06 through 10/22/06. Of them, 811 were registered to vote. Of them, 519 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.