Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10411

Geography Surveyed: MN 6th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/06/2006 - 10/08/2006
Release Date: 10/09/2006 12:00 PM ET
Sponsor: KSTP-TV Minneapolis

DFL Wetterling Gaining On Bachmann in MN6: In an election in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 10/9/05, Republican Michele Bachmann leads DFL Candidate Patty Wetterling, 47% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV Minneapolis. Since an identical SurveyUSA KSTP-TV poll released 9/19/06, Bachmann has lost 3 points and Wetterling has gained 3 points. Bachmann had led by 9, now leads by 3. There is day-to-day movement within this survey that may or may not be significant. SurveyUSA has broken out separately, as a crosstab, in the tabular display, the results from 10/6, 10/7 and 10/8. Separately, SurveyUSA includes a "Timeline" box. Bachmann today gets 88% of Republican votes. Wetterling gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents split. Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters age 50 to 64, and by 7 points among voters age 65+. 3 weeks ago these age groups were split evenly. Bachmann leads among voters under age 50. Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters with household income under $40K. 3 weeks ago, this group supported Bachmann by 7 points, a 17-point swing. Bachmann leads by 16 points among men. Wetterling leads by 9 points among women. Bachmann leads by 79 points among conservatives. Wetterling leads by 71 points among liberals and by 24 points among moderates. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 89% choose Bachmann. Of those who disapprove of Bush's job performance, 76% choose Wetterling. President Bush's job approval among likely voters in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District is 42%. Incumbent 3-term Republican Congressman Mark Kennedy is running for the U.S. Senate this year. The House seat is open. Wetterling lost to Kennedy by 8 points in 2004. The election is on 11/7/06.

Filtering: 1,000 Registered Voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 10/6/06 - 10/8/06. Of them, 669 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

Timeline: 10/03/06: Wetterling begins running TV ads criticizing House Republicans over their handling of Rep. Mark Foley's inappropriate behavior. 10/06/06: Interviewing begins for this poll 10/07/06: Wetterling delivers Democratic Party's response to President Bush's weekly radio address. 10/08/06: Final day of interviewing for this poll. 10/09/06: Results of this survey released.