Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10314

Geography Surveyed: Illinois
Data Collected: 09/17/2006 - 09/19/2006
Release Date: 09/20/2006 12:45 PM ET
Sponsor: KSDK-TV St. Louis

IL Gov Blagojevich Sees GOP Challenger Topinka in Rear-View Mirror: In an election for Governor of Illinois today, 9/20/06, Democrat incumbent Rod Blagojevich edges Republican challenger Judy Baar Topinka, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSDK-TV St. Louis. 7 weeks to the 9/20/06 election, it's Blagojevich 45%, Topinka 39%, Green Party candidate Rich Whitney 7%. Topinka leads by 12 points among men. Blagojevich leads by 25 points among women, a 37-point "gender gap." Topinka leads by 3 among whites. Blagojevich leads by 75 among blacks. Blagojevich gets 83% of Democrat votes. Topinka gets 73% of Republican votes. Independents break 4:3 for Topinka. Blagojevich leads by 36 in the city of Chicago, by 11 in suburban Cook County, by 3 in the Collar Counties. Topinka leads by 14 Downstate. A SurveyUSA KSDK-TV poll released 2 months ago, which did not name the Libertarian Whitney, had Blagojevich at 45%, unchanged from today, Topinka at 34%, 5 points lower than her support today. Of significance: in SurveyUSA's July poll, Blagojevich led by 8 among men (he now trails by 12, a 20-point swing among men away from the Democrat); Blagojevich led by 13 among women (he now leads by 25, a 12-point swing among women toward the Democrat). The contest has become more gender polarized over the past 60 days. Blagojevich was first elected Governor in 2002. Topinka has been Illinois Treasurer since 1994.

Filtering: 900 Illinois adults were interviewed 9/17/09 - 9/19/09. Of them, 801 were registered to vote. Of them, 529 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 529 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.3 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Judy Baar Topinka? Democrat Rod Blagojevich? Green Party candidate Rich Whitney? Or some other candidate?

39% Topinka (R)
45% Blagojevich (D)
7% Whitney (G)
1% Other
8% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations