Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #7399

Geography Surveyed: City of Seattle
Data Collected: 10/30/2005 - 11/01/2005
Release Date: 11/02/2005 12:30 PM ET
Sponsor: KING-TV Seattle

Analysis: In a citywide election in Seattle today, 11/2/05, the Monorail Measure is defeated 3:2, and four City Council incumbents are re-elected, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 549 likely Seattle voters, conducted exclusively for KING-TV. Election day is 11/8. The Monorail Measure is rejected today 58% to 40%, virtually unchanged from a SurveyUSA KING-TV poll 4 weeks ago. The Monorail is supported only by liberals and by voters under age 35. For City Council Position 2, incumbent Richard Conlin defeats challenger Paige Miller 49% to 37%. Conlin had led by 5, now by 12. For City Council Position 4, incumbent Jan Drago today defeats challenger Casey Corr 54% to 34%. Drago had led by 17, now by 20. For City Council Position 6, incumbent Nick Licata beats challenger Paul Bascomb 65% to 22%. For City Council Position 8, incumbent Richard McIver today defeats challenger Dwight Pelz 50% to 34%. 4 weeks ago, McIver led by 17, now by 16. In the City Council races, 12% to 15% of likely voters remain undecided.

Filtering: 1,200 Seattle adults were interviewed 10/30/05 - 11/1/05. Of them, 1,045 were registered voters. Of them, 549 were judged to be "likely" voters on the Monorail Measure. 476 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 2 contest. 486 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 4 contest. 468 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 6 contest. 465 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 8 contest. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters.

1
  Asked of 549 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

On November 8th, there is a vote on Seattle's Monorail. The Monorail Measure would approve a new monorail plan, shortening the route from 14 miles to 10.6 miles, subject to City Council approval. A "Yes" vote would approve the new plan. A "No" vote directs that no Monorail be built. If the election were today, would you vote "Yes" on the Monorail Measure? Or would you vote "No"?

40% Yes
58% No
2% Undecided

2
  Asked of 476 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.6%

Also on the ballot are contests for the Seattle City Council. First, City Council Position 2. If the election were today, would you vote for Richard Conlin? Or Paige Miller?

49% Conlin (Inc)
37% Miller
14% Undecided

3
  Asked of 486 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.5%

Next, City Council Position 4. If the election were today, would you vote for Casey Corr? Or Jan Drago?

34% Corr
54% Drago (Inc)
12% Undecided

4
  Asked of 468 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

Next, City Council Position 6. If the election were today, would you vote for Paul Bascomb? Or Nick Licata?

22% Bascomb
65% Licata (Inc)
13% Undecided

5
  Asked of 465 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.6%

Finally, City Council Position 8. If the election were today, would you vote for Richard McIver? Or Dwight Pelz?

50% McIver (Inc)
34% Pelz
15% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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