Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16988

Geography Surveyed: WA 3rd CD RBS
Data Collected: 08/23/2010 - 08/24/2010
Release Date: 08/25/2010 11:45 AM ET
Sponsor: KING-TV Seattle

In Fight for Open US House Seat in WA-03, Republican Jumps from Primary Positioned for Possible Take-Away: In an election today 08/25/10 for the open US House of Representatives seat in Washington State's 3rd Congressional District, Republican Jaime Herrera is 4:3 atop Democrat Denny Heck, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. Herrera has a broad constituency, and has an early advantage among both men and women, young and old. Moderates break 5:4 Democrat, but Independents break 5:3 Republican. When the sub-populations are combined, it's Herrera 54%, Heck 41%. Herrera, a member of the State House of Representatives, gets 9 of 10 Republican votes; Heck, a former State House Majority Leader, holds 8 of 10 Democrats. Since 1960, the 3rd District has been held by a Republican for only 2 terms, from 1995 to 1999. Incumbent Democrat Brian Baird, elected in 1998, is not seeking a 7th term. In a 6-person primary 08/17/10, Heck defeated Herrera 31% to 28%. In that primary, 54% of votes went to a Republican, 42% of votes went to a Democrat.

Filtering: 700 registered voters from Washington's 3rd Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/23/10 through 08/24/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 562 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. 38 of Washington's 39 counties vote solely by mail; ballots will be mailed to voters on 10/15/10.