Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10101

Geography Surveyed: Oklahoma
Data Collected: 08/25/2006 - 08/27/2006
Release Date: 08/28/2006 11:50 AM ET
Sponsor: KFOR-TV Oklahoma City

Henry Running Strong in OK Statehouse Re-Elect Bid: In an election for Governor in Oklahoma today, 8/28/06, incumbent Democrat Brad Henry defeats Republican challenger Ernest Istook 60% to 34%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KFOR-TV Oklahoma City. 34% of Republican voters cross over to vote for the Democrat Henry. Henry leads by 41 points among women and by 12 points among men, a 29-point "gender gap." Henry leads 8:1 among Democrats and 2:1 among Independents. Henry leads by 18:1 among liberals. Istook leads by only 2:1 among conservatives. The lower the voter turnout, the closer the contest. The election is on 11/7/06. Henry was first elected in 2002, defeating Republican Steve Largent. SurveyUSA was the only pollster to forecast Henry's win in 2002. Henry's 69% Job Approval Rating in SurveyUSA's most recent monthly tracking poll, makes Henry the 7th most popular governor in the country. Istook is leaving the U.S. Congress after 7 terms representing Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District.

Askins In Tight Fight with Hiett for OK Lt. Governor Race: In an election for Lieutenant Governor in Oklahoma today, 8/28/06, Democrat Jari Askins edges Republican Tom Hiett, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KFOR-TV Oklahoma City. 10 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Askins gets 48%. Hiett gets 42%. Askins leads by 20 points among women and trails by 8 points among men, a 28-point "gender gap." Askins gets 80% of Democrat votes. Hiett gets 70% of Republican votes. Independents are split. Askins gets 2 out of 3 votes from both liberals and moderates. Hiett gets 2 out of 3 votes from conservatives. The incumbent Lieutenant Governor is Republican Mary Fallin, who is now running to succeed Ernest Istook as Representative from Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District.

Filtering: 1,000 Oklahoma adults were interviewed 8/25/06 - 8/27/06. Of them, 834 were registered to vote. Of them, 519 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

1
  Asked of 519 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.3 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Ernest Istook? Democrat Brad Henry? Or some other candidate?

34% Istook (R)
60% Henry (D)
5% Undecided

2
  Asked of 519 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.4 percentage points.

In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Tom Hiett? Democrat Jari Askins? Or some other candidate?

42% Hiett (R)
48% Askins (D)
2% Other
8% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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