Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13344

Geography Surveyed: Maryland
Data Collected: 02/09/2008 - 02/10/2008
Release Date: 02/11/2008 7:10 AM ET
Sponsor: WJLA-TV Washington DC

No Big Weekend Bounce for Huckabee in Maryland; McCain Positioned for Comfortable Win -- 24 hours till votes are counted in the Maryland Republican Primary, John McCain leads Mike Huckabee 2:1, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC. The contest has tightened a bit over the weekend, but not as much as in neighboring Virgina, where Huckabee's momentum should make McCain take notice. In Maryland, today, it's McCain 52%, Huckabee 26%, Ron Paul 10%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, Huckabee is up 9, McCain is down 4. McCain had led by 39 points, now by 26. Though Huckabee has gained ground, McCain still leads among Conservatives, Pro-Life voters, and regular church goers -- groups that Huckabee would need to dominate if he were to challenge McCain in Maryland.

Filtering / Timing: 1,700 Maryland adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/09/08 and 02/10/08. In the middle of the field period for this survey, Mike Huckabee won the Louisiana primary, won the Kansas caucus, and finished a strong 2nd in the WA state caucus. Any momentum Huckabee accrued from those wins would only partially be reflected in these interviews, half of which were completed before the results of the Saturday wins were known. Of the 1,700 adults interviewed, 1,528 were registered to vote. Of them, 368 were determined by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Republican primary.

1
  Asked of 368 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 5.2 percentage points.

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

26% Huckabee
52% McCain
10% Paul
8% Other
4% Undecided

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