Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10646

Geography Surveyed: KY 4th Congressional District
Data Collected: 11/03/2006 - 11/05/2006
Release Date: 11/06/2006 10:25 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

GOP Incumbent Davis Holds KY4 for Republicans: In an election for U.S. House of Representatives today, Election Eve, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, Republican incumbent Geoff Davis consolidates support at the wire to defeat Democrat challenger Ken Lucas. In 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville, the lead has changed hands 3 times in a tight fight. But, Davis ends with 49%, the highest he has polled in 4 months, Lucas ends at 43%, the lowest he has polled in 4 months. Davis lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired. Lucas represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004.

Filtering: 900 adults from Kentucky's 4th Congressional District were interviewed 11/3/06 through 11/5/06. Of them, 761 were registered to vote. Of them, 510 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 510 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.4 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Geoff Davis? Democrat Ken Lucas? Or Libertarian Brian Houillion?

49% Davis (R)
43% Lucas (D)
5% Houillion (L)
3% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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