Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13285

Geography Surveyed: Florida
Data Collected: 01/27/2008 - 01/28/2008
Release Date: 01/28/2008 8:50 PM ET
Sponsors: WFLA-TV Tampa, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola

Final Florida GOP Primary Numbers: Jump Ball -- It is impossible to tell whether John McCain or Mitt Romney will emerge in 24 hours with Florida's prized delegates, according to SurveyUSA's final three Florida GOP tracking polls, including interviews on Primary Eve, conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Mobile Pensacola. SurveyUSA's 01/25/08 release showed the contest tied. SurveyUSA's 01/28/08 release showed the contest tied. And this, SurveyUSA's 01/29/08 release, shows the contest tied. We can reveal that in the final totals it is McCain 31.6%, Romney 31.2%, but we will caution that those numbers are not materially different than the Romney 31.9%, McCain 31.3% numbers that SurveyUSA reported this morning. The movement is too small to be judged significant, and the best interpretation of the data and the trendlines is that the contest could go either way. Rudolph Giuliani and Mike Huckabee finish far back, tied for 3rd place, with half the votes of the front-runners. Romney has caught McCain among older voters. But McCain has caught Romney among younger voters.

Filtering / Timing: 3,200 state of Florida adults were interviewed 01/27/08 and 01/28/08. Of them, 2,835 were registered to vote. Of them 979 were determined by SurveyUSA to be Republicans who had either already voted in the GOP Primary, using early voting, or who were likely to vote at the precinct on 01/29/08.

1
  Asked of 979 Likely & Actual Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.2 percentage points.

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Rudy Giuliani? Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Fred Thompson? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

15% Giuliani
13% Huckabee
32% McCain
31% Romney
6% Paul
1% Other
2% Undecided

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  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
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  Statement of Methodology
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