Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13646

Geography Surveyed: Pennsylvania
Data Collected: 03/29/2008 - 03/31/2008
Release Date: 04/01/2008 7:00 AM ET
Sponsors: KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WCAU-TV Philadelphia, WHP-TV Harrisburg, WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

Democratic Primary: Pennsylvania Men Move to Obama But Woman Stick with Hillary -- In a Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania today, 04/01/08, 3 weeks until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 53% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WHP-TV Harrisburg, and WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 3 weeks ago, Clinton is down 2, Obama is up 5. Clinton had led by 19, now 12. The movement comes almost entirely from men. Clinton had led by 5, now trails by 7, a 12-point swing to Obama. To see this illustrated, go to SurveyUSA's exclusive interactive tracking graph, here. Among women, Clinton had led by 30, now leads by 28, largely unchanged. Among voters age 50+, Clinton had led by 26, now leads by 22. Among voters under 50, Clinton had led by 12, now leads by 2, a 10-point swing to Obama. In Southeast PA, which includes Philadelphia and which makes up 43% of likely Democratic voters, the candidates have traded places: Clinton had been up 2; she is now down 3. In Southwest PA, which includes Pittsburgh, Clinton had led by 31, now by 17, a 14-point swing to Obama. In NW PA, which includes Erie ... in West Central PA, which includes Johnstown ... and in South Central PA, which includes Harrisburg ... each of which is small by itself ... there is movement to Obama, which, when the 3 regions are combined, is worth noting. In NE PA, which includes Scranton, there is movement to Clinton. Among Conservative Democrats, and among Pro-Life Democrats, there is movement to Obama. Clinton continues to dominate among voters focused on the Economy (#1 issue) and Health Care (#3) issue. Obama has gained ground but Clinton continues to lead among voters focused on Iraq (#2 issue).

Filtering: 1,600 state of PA adults were interviewed 03/29/08 through 03/31/08. Of them, 1,405 were registered to vote. Of them, 588 were identified by SurveyUSA as Democrats likely to vote in the Democratic Primary on 04/22/08. The Pennsylvania Primary is "closed." Only registered Democrats are allowed to vote. There is no early voting. Pennsylvania's 158 Democratic Convention delegates are awarded proportionally. The state has 19 Congressional Districts.

1
  Asked of 588 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

53% Clinton
41% Obama
4% Other
2% Undecided

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