Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15593

Geography Surveyed: Virginia
Data Collected: 07/27/2009 - 07/28/2009
Release Date: 07/29/2009 10:50 AM ET
Sponsors: WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC

14 Weeks Out, Republicans Sweep VA Statewide Contests: In elections for Virginia Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and Attorney General today, 07/29/09, fourteen weeks before Election Day, Republicans win all three offices by double digits, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC.

In the race for Virginia Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds 55% to 40%. McDonnell, former Attorney General of Virginia, leads by 25 points among men, by 5 points among women. Deeds, a state senator who ran against McDonnell in the tightly-fought 2005 race for Attorney General, leads 6:1 among African Americans, 8:1 among Democrats, and 13:1 among liberals. Among moderates, Deeds is ahead by 8 points. McDonnell carries independents 2:1, and is above 50% in all regions of the state. Gun owners vote 2:1 McDonnell. Those without guns vote 5:4 Deeds. 14% of those who say they voted for Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential election say they will vote for Republican McDonnell in the gubernatorial contest; 9% of John McCain voters say they will cross over and vote for Democrat Deeds.

Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of Virginia and Secretary of Finance 54% to 42%. Wagner ties Bolling among women voters, and leads among blacks, Democrats, and liberals; Bolling is over 50% in all regions of the state.

In the race for the open office of Attorney General, Republican Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat Steve Shannon 53% to 42%. Cuccinelli is a state senator; Shannon is a member of the state House of Delegates; both men represent adjoining districts in Fairfax County. Among men, Cuccinelli leads by 24 points; among women, Shannon leads by 3. Shannon, like both his running mates, takes the majority of the vote in each region of the state.


Filtering: 900 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 07/27/09 through 07/28/09. All interviews conducted after 07/26/09 governor candidate debate. Of the VA adults, 804 were registered to vote. Of them, 526 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; Incumbent Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office.

1
  Asked of 526 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? or Democrat Creigh Deeds?

55% McDonnell (R)
40% Deeds (D)
5% Undecided

2
  Asked of 526 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? or Democrat Jody Wagner?

54% Bolling (R)
42% Wagner (D)
4% Undecided

3
  Asked of 526 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.4%

Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? or Democrat Steve Shannon?

53% Cuccinelli (R)
42% Shannon (D)
6% Undecided

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