Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16638

Geography Surveyed: California
Data Collected: 06/01/2010 - 06/02/2010
Release Date: 06/03/2010 9:45 AM ET
Sponsors: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KFSN-TV Fresno, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco

In California: Prop 13 & 14 Positioned to Pass; Prop 15 Likely to Fail; Prop 16 and 17 Too Close to Call; Newsom & Maldonado Favored to Advance to Lt Gov General Election: 5 days until votes are counted in the 06/8/10 California Primary, Gavin Newsom is positioned to win the Democratic nomination for Lieutenant Governor and Abel Maldonado is positioned to win the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. Newsom leads Janice Hahn by 14 points among those who have already voted, leads Hahn by 16 points among those who have not yet voted but who tell SurveyUSA they will vote before the deadline. Newsom's support is disproportionately white, liberal, educated, affluent and from the northern half of the state. Maldonado leads Sam Aanestad 9:5 among both those who have already voted and among those who have not yet voted. His support is older but otherwise broad based. Many likely Primary voters are not focused on the ballot measures, resulting in a typically high number of likely voters who aren't certain how they will vote on a given referendum, and a material number of citizens who have already cast a ballot but who do not recall how they voted on a particular contest. With those limitations noted:: Proposition 13 is positioned to pass, backed by a broad coalition of republicans and democrats, conservatives moderates and liberals. Proposition 14 is positioned to pass, backed by a broad coalition of republicans and democrats, conservative, moderates and liberals. Proposition 15 is likely to fail, opposed by a broad spectrum of young and old, male and female, Proposition 16 and 17 are both too close to call. 16, which trails narrowly, within the margin of sampling error and not by enough to be statistically significant, is opposed by Democrats, supported by Republicans. 17, which leads narrowly, within the margin of sampling error and not by enough to be statistically significant, is supported by the middle-aged, opposed by the young.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 California adults 06/01/10 through 06/02/10. Of them, 1,979 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 509 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 06/08/10 Republican Primary; 609 were determined to have already voted or be likely to vote in the 06/08/10 Democratic primary; 1,250 were determined to have already voted or be likely to vote on the propositions on the ballot on 06/08/10. Early voting began 05/10/10.