Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10548

Geography Surveyed: MN 6th Congressional District
Data Collected: 10/22/2006 - 10/24/2006
Release Date: 10/25/2006 11:50 AM ET
Sponsor: KSTP-TV Minneapolis

Republican Bachmann Appears to Hold Off Charge From Democrat Wetterling In MN6: In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 10/25/06, Republican Michele Bachmann leads DFL Candidate Patty Wetterling, 49% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV Minneapolis. Since an identical SurveyUSA KSTP-TV poll released 10/9/06, Bachmann has gained 2 points and Wetterling has lost 1 point. The Republican had led by 3, now leads by 6. In early October, Wetterling had run ads referencing Mark Foley; the race tightened at that point. SurveyUSA observes here the pendulum swinging ever-so-slightly in the other direction. 88% of Republicans vote Republican. 89% of Democrats vote Democrat. Independents split. Bachmann leads because Republicans outnumber Democrats by 8 points in SurveyUSA's turnout model. Bachman leads by 19 among males, Wetterling leads by 7 among females, a 26-point Gender Gap. Among voters under age 35, Bachmann's lead has increased from 12 to 23 points. The least affluent voters support Wetterling by 8 points. More affluent voters support Bachmann. Incumbent 3-term Republican Congressman Mark Kennedy is running for the U.S. Senate this year. The House seat is open. Wetterling lost to Kennedy by 8 points in 2004. The election is in 13 days, on 11/7/06. Competing Polls: 3 other pollsters are polling the MN6 race. The Star-Tribune of Minneapolis has Wetterling ahead by 8 points. Majority Watch has Wetterling ahead by 5 points. Zogby has Bachmann ahead by 3 points. Polls for this contest are summarized here.

Filtering: 1,000 Registered Voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 10/22/06 - 10/24/06. Of them, 738 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.