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Democrat Lucas On Top again in Seesaw KY4 Race: In an election today, 9/19/2006, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, Democrat Ken Lucas leads Republican incumbent Geoff Davis, 48% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 8/10/06, Lucas, who represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004, has gained 4 points. Davis, who lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired, has lost 2 points. Lucas led by 9 points in July, trailed by 2 in August, and now leads by 4. The election is in 7 weeks, on 11/7/06. Lucas gets 81% of Democrat votes. Davis gets 80% of Republican votes. Independents prefer the Republican Davis by 6 points. Lucas's improvement comes from women voters, where he has gone from a 4-point lead to a 17-point lead. Among men, Davis leads by 8 points: a 25-point "gender gap". Both parties covet the House seat as they seek control of Congress. Heavy ad spending and a nationalized agenda mean poll results are likely to fluctuate further between now and election day, 11/7/2006. |